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MARKET UPDATE 31.07.2013

2013-07-31 03:33 GMT

The world awaits the FOMC decision and statements

Unlike many of the recent Fed meetings, Today’s meeting will feature only the FOMC’s decision and accompanying statement – but still the world is watching. Today’s interest rate decision will only be accompanied by their official statement regarding their decision. Traders and analysts are hoping for more guidance on the Fed’s plans regarding their bond buying program.

A month ago, the dreaded “tapering” word was making the rounds and interest rates were flying and stocks were correcting. However, Ben Bernanke subsequently put risk bulls’ minds at ease by indicating that the current QE efforts would likely continue unabated for the foreseeable future. So, any hint Wednesday about their plans could push rates and the US Dollar in one direction or the other. he US Dollar has been on the decline ever since Bernanke made his market-moving comments early in July. Technicians say that major “correction support” for the DXY can come in anywhere from 81.63 to 81.13 and possibly even down to 80.71 – depending on how one draws Fibonacci projection lines. Resistance for DXY comes in at 81.94, the 7/23 close, and is followed by the 7/24 peak at 82.42.- FXstreet.com

2013-07-31 09:00 GMT

EMU. Consumer Price Index - Core (YoY)

2013-07-31 12:30 GMT

USA. Gross Domestic Product Annualized (Q2)

2013-07-31 18:00 GMT

USA. Fed Interest Rate Decision

2013-07-31 18:00 GMT

USA. Fed's Monetary Policy Statement and press conference

2013-07-31 04:43 GMT

Today is the big day, USD to be pressured - SocGen

2013-07-31 04:29 GMT

FOMC client survey results; most hold USD longs - Nomura

2013-07-31 04:25 GMT

NZD/USD holding above 0.7950 while capped below 0.80

2013-07-31 04:04 GMT

USD to strengthen as 'dovish' Fed priced in - RBS

AUDUSD
0.90371 / 375
NZDUSD
0.79850 / 856
USDCHF
0.92978 / 984
USDCAD
1.03042 / 044
GBPJPY
148.964 / 978
EURCHF
1.23249 / 255
GOLD
1334.17 / .46
SILVER
19.91 / .93
EURUSD HIGH 1.3268 LOW 1.32517 BID 1.32572 ASK 1.32577 CHANGE -0.04% TIME 08:46:29

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Neutral

TREND CONDITION

Sideway

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

High

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: All supports and resistances remains the same today. Mark at 1.3273 (R1) acts as next resistive barrier on the way if the pair keeps it upside potential. Break here is required to achieve higher targets at 1.3288 (R2) and 1.3304 (R3) later on today. Downwards scenario: On the other side, depreciation below the support at 1.3247 (S1) might shift short-term tendency to the bearish side and validate our intraday targets at 1.3232 (S2) and 1.3217(S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3273, 1.3288, 1.3304

Support Levels: 1.3247, 1.3232, 1.3217

GBPUSD HIGH 1.52434 LOW 1.52185 BID 1.52244 ASK 1.52250 CHANGE -0.09% TIME 08:46:30

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Down

TREND CONDITION

Down
trend

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

High

Upwards scenario: Instrument gained momentum on the downside recently, turning short-term bias to the negative side. Though, upwards penetration above the resistance at 1.5252 (R1) might enable bullish forces and expose our initial targets at 1.5267 (R2) and 1.5282 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other side, depreciation below the support barrier at 1.5215 (S1) might provide sufficient space for the recovery action. In such case we would suggest next intraday targets at 1.5205 (S2) and then 1.5186 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.5252, 1.5267, 1.5282

Support Levels: 1.5215, 1.5205, 1.5186

USDJPY HIGH 98.162 LOW 97.847 BID 98.019 ASK 98.020 CHANGE -0.01% TIME 08:46:31

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Down

TREND CONDITION

Sideway

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

High

Upwards scenario: Possible volatility increase might commence new phase of downtrend extension either prolong retracement formation on the hourly chart frame. Price appreciation above the resistance at 98.23 (R1) would suggest intraday targets at 98.44 (R2) and 98.65 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the downside, next on tap is seen support level at 97.74 (S1). Clearance here is required to enable lower targets at 97.49 (S2) and 97.25 (S3)

Resistance Levels: 98.23, 98.44, 98.65

Support Levels: 97.74, 97.49, 97.25

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