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MARKET UPDATE 31.01.2012

2012-01-31 07:00 GMT

Futures traders increase net shorts on the euro-dollar

The yen appreciated by 1% to 100.34 per euro by 5 p.m. New York time on Monday evening having earlier touched 99.99, the lowest level witnessed since Jan. 23. The Japanese currency strengthened 0.5 percent to 76.35 per dollar, reaching 76.22. Traders will recall that the yen touched 75.35 yen on Oct. 31st, this set a post World War II record low. After falling below 76.50 and reaching a 3-month low at 76.20, USD/JPY was unable to bounce above the 76.30 level and has been trading trapped in a tight range between 76.25 and 76.30. Price is currently printing at circa 76.30. The euro declined 0.1 percent to 1.20528 Swiss francs after sliding to 1.20405, the weakest level seen since Sept. 19th. The EUR/CHF did then recover after hitting the 4-month low. The Euro rose up after reaching its lowest level in 4 months versus the Franc, climbing back above the 1.2050 level as investors awaited positive news from the EU summit. After gaining ground for ten successive days, GBP/USD finally managed to end it's secular bullish run trading in New York at 1.5707 on Monday where it remains in consolidation, having lost a moderate 0.13% on the day.

Canada’s dollar, nicknamed the loonie, was little changed at C$1.0015 per U.S. dollar at 5 p.m. Toronto time. It gained versus all but two of its 16 most-traded counterparts. The loonie appreciated 1.1 percent last week, fell as much as 0.5 percent earlier on Monday. It was poised for a 2 percent rise versus the greenback for January, the first monthly advance since October. One Canadian dollar buys 99.85 U.S. cents. The Canadian currency gained 0.6 percent today to C$1.0615 per Australian dollar after climbing 0.8 percent earlier, the biggest intraday jump since Dec. 19th. The loonie appreciated 0.7 percent versus New Zealand’s dollar to 82.04 Canadian cents. AUD/USD ended trade in New York at 1.0596 after trading a very wide 1.0524-1.0650 range overnight and during the European session, finally losing a modest 0.39% on the day after being (at one stage) down by over 1%. The Aussie is up nearly 4% since the beginning of the year.

Read More

2012-01-31 00:01 GMT

United Kingdom Gfk Consumer Confidence (Jan)

2012-01-31 07:00 GMT

Germany Retail Sales (YoY) (Dec)

2012-01-31 08:55 GMT

Germany Unemployment Rate s.a. (Jan)

2012-01-31 10:00 GMT

European Monetary Union Unemployment Rate (Dec)

2012-01-31 05:02 GMT

Japan Dec Housing Starts (YoY) -7.3%

2012-01-31 00:31 GMT

Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence increase to 3 in Dec.

2012-01-31 00:04 GMT

Japan: Industrial production flat, 2.5% increase predicted in January

2012-01-31 00:02 GMT

UK - Jan Gfk Consumer Confidence rises to -29

AUDUSD
1.06240 / 249
0.0027 0.25%
NZDUSD
0.82276 / 291
0.0037 0.45%
USDCHF
0.91458 / 469
-0.0025 -0.27%
USDCAD
1.00095 / 105
-0.0004 -0.04%
GBPJPY
120.099 / 115
0.186 0.16%
EURCHF
1.20504 / 520
-0.0002 -0.02%
GOLD
1736.00 / .36
6.3199 0.37%
SILVER
33.65 / .68
0.17 0.51%
EURUSD 1.31764 / 1.31769
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY
High: 1.31985 | Low: 1.31334 | Chg: 0.0034 0.25%

1.3347

1.3313

1.3275

1.3234

1.3133

1.3075

1.3024

1.2962

SUMMARY

up

TREND

up
trend

MA10

Bullish

MA20

bullish

STOCHASTIC

overbought

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

The EURUSD moved upwards and managed to stay above yesterday’s support 1.3075 (S2) and now it is moving towards 1.3234 (R1). A break above that level, we are suggesting a further rise towards 1.3275 (R2) and then 1.3313 (R3). On the other hand, if the price manages to hold below 1.3234 (R1) then we can expect retest of 1.3133 (S1) and then we will focus on 1.3075 (R2).

GBPUSD 1.57359 / 1.57368
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY
High: 1.57423 | Low: 1.56979 | Chg: 0.0026 0.17%

1.5879

1.5845

1.5813

1.5742

1.5658

1.5626

1.5579

1.5535

SUMMARY

up

TREND

up
trend

MA10

Bullish

MA20

bullish

STOCHASTIC

Overbought

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

GBPUSD found a strong support at 1.5658 (S1) level and this morning the price formed a top at 1.5742.Now it seems to be heading towards level 1.5742 (R1). A break above that level would suggest a target of 1.5813 (R2) and a further rise will then focus on the next target at 1.5845 (R3). On the downside, if the price rebounds from the first resistance level we can expect retesting of 1.5658 (S1), a technical and psychological level. A further decline will then bring focus to the next support level at 1.5626 (S2).

USDJPY 76.322 / 76.327
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY
High: 76.413 | Low: 76.175 | Chg: -0.009 -0.01%

78.28

77.55

76.89

76.42

75.45

75.06

74.63

74.16

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

down
trend

MA10

bearish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

USDJPY lost momentum yesterday and it is moving downwards towards our support levels. (R1). A break below 76.00 level will give us a proper confirmation for short positions targeting 75.45 (S1) and 75.06 (S2), as we expect the pair to continue its downwards pressure. A stop loss should be placed above 76.89 (S1).

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