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MARKET UPDATE 30.04.2012

2012-04-30 07:00 GMT

EURUSD trapped in Trading Range

EUR/USD is currently at 1.3249, near the upper bound of the tiny range the pair has traded into this Monday in Asia-Pacific, with main markets Japan and China closed for Golden Week holiday. US and European share markets point for a marginal higher open, according to their futures. For the London session ahead agenda shows German retail sales at 06:00 GMT as EUR macro data related, followed by EU M3 money supply and private loans at 08:00 GMT and CPI figures at 09:00 GMT, as well as short term sovereign debt auctions from France along the European morning.

Despite the Bank of Japan expanded its QE program by JPY5trn to JPY70trn last Friday in Asia, an outcome in line with expectations, the measure seems to have underwhelmed the market, which continues to buy the Yen ignoring the recent aggressive monetary easing.

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2012-04-30 08:00 GMT

European Monetary Union M3 Money Supply (3m) (Mar)

2012-04-30 08:00 GMT

European Monetary Union M3 Money Supply (YoY) (Mar)

2012-04-30 09:00 GMT

European Monetary Union Consumer Price Index (YoY)

2012-04-30 09:00 GMT

Italy Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Apr) Preliminar

2012-04-30 01:31 GMT

Australia Mar Private Sector Credit (YoY) 2.3%

2012-04-30 00:31 GMT

Australia Apr TD Securities Inflation (YoY) 1.9%

2012-04-30 00:30 GMT

Australia TD Securities Inflation (MoM) 0.3% in Apr

2012-04-30 00:30 GMT

GBP/USD quiet near 7-month highs

AUDUSD
1.04548 / 552
NZDUSD
0.82180 / 195
USDCHF
0.90631 / 641
USDCAD
0.98088 / 094
GBPJPY
130.487 / 503
EURCHF
1.20132 / 142
GOLD
1664.68 / .96
SILVER
31.36 / .39
EURUSD 1.32542 / 1.32546
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.3423

1.3375

1.3324

1.3269

1.3171

1.3118

1.3057

1.3000

SUMMARY

Neutral

TREND

Sideway

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Oversold

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

The EURUSD found a strong support at 1.3171 (S1) and moved upwards breaking above our resistance levels. We expect the price to continue its move upwards as this is supported by the fact that both of our Moving Averages are bullish and are providing a strong support just above previous low. Look for long positions at 1.3269 targeting second resistance level at 1.3324 (R2).

GBPUSD 1.62849 / 1.62857
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.6474

1.6424

1.6389

1.6345

1.6207

1.6134

1.6078

1.6009

SUMMARY

TREND

Up
trend

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

GBPUSD gained momentum and formed higher bottoms successfully penetrating Friday's resistance levels. We expect the price to continue its upwards move targeting 1.6345 (R1) and further rise will then be limited at 1.6389 (R2).

USDJPY 80.124 / 80.129
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

81.77

81.43

81.04

80.65

79.54

79.05

78.47

78.13

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Down
trend

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Oversold

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

USDJPY fell sharply and formed a strong support level close to 80.00 level. Look for short positions at current level targeting 79.54 (S1) and further fall will then focus on next support level at 79.05 (S2). A stop loss should be placed at 80.65 (R1).

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