FXCC
FXCC FXCC FXCC
FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC
MARKET UPDATE 28.12.2012

2012-12-27 14:17 GMT

Fiscal cliff looms as US lawmakers play game of brinkmanship

The "fiscal cliff" steadfastly approaches and it is a fair assumption that no one will come up with a deal in time to stop the country from careening off the edge. Nearly everyone involved claims they want to avoid the automatic tax increases and colossal budget cuts that will start kicking in at the start of 2013, however few are ready to make the compromises necessary to make that happen.

As expected, anti-tax purists in the House Republican Caucus have gotten in the way of Speaker John A. Boehners attempts to come up with a fix for the fiscal cliff. Last week, he withdrew his doomed Plan B rather than let it go to a vote he knew he would lose. Democrats were united in their opposition, though what ultimately killed the scheme was the refusal of conservatives in Boehner’s own caucus to go along with a tax increase for millionaires. Boehner now seems to have washed his hands of responsibility and says it is up to the president and Democrats in the Senate to save the country from the New Year’s program cuts and tax increases that will come so fast and furiously that the economy could suffer. President Obama cut short his Hawaii vacation to return to the snow-covered capital hoping to concoct a last-minute deal in the eleventh hour. -FXstreet.com

N/A

Italy. 10-y Bond Auction

2012-12-28 07:45 GMT

France. Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (Q3)

2012-12-28 15:00 GMT

United States. Pending Home Sales (YoY) (Nov)

2012-12-28 16:00 GMT

United States. EIA Crude Oil Stocks change (Dec 21)

2012-12-28 04:21 GMT

EUR/JPY stalling below 114.70 around fresh 16-month highs

2012-12-28 02:12 GMT

EUR/USD below 1.3250 waiting for a 'fiscal cliff' outcome, what else?

2012-12-28 00:56 GMT

USD/JPY shooting up above 86.50 on extreme overbought readings

2012-12-27 20:12 GMT

USD/CAD reaches 1-month high

AUDUSD
1.03766 / 772
NZDUSD
0.81995 / 016
USDCHF
0.91261 / 278
USDCAD
0.99491 / 507
GBPJPY
139.345 / 366
EURCHF
1.20835 / 851
GOLD
1662.28 / .56
SILVER
30.27 / .29
EURUSD HIGH 1.32527 LOW 1.32295 BID 1.32420 ASK 1.32426 CHANGE 0.06% TIME 07:51:55

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Down

TREND CONDITION

Downward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Low

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Price action looks mainly consolidative, though violation of our resistance at 1.3253 (R1) would be a signal of possible uptrend formation with next targets ahead at 1.3264 (R2) and 1.3276 (R3). Downwards scenario: Depreciation below the support at 1.3227 (S1) might trigger correction formation towards to next targets at 1.3215 (S2) and 1.3203 (S3)

Resistance Levels: 1.3253, 1.3264, 1.3276

Support Levels: 1.3227, 1.3215, 1.3203

GBPUSD HIGH 1.61211 LOW 1.60981 BID 1.61189 ASK 1.61199 CHANGE 0.13% TIME 07:51:56

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Neutral

TREND CONDITION

Sideway

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Low

Upwards scenario: Market sentiment looks neutral and upside movement is limited to resistance level at 1.6127 (R1). Surpassing of this level might enable next target at 1.6139 (R2) and any further gain would then be limited to last resistance at 1.6152 (R3). Downwards scenario: A break below the support at 1.6102 (S1) would allow bears remaining in play on the medium-term perspective. Next targets could be found at 1.6090 (S2) and 1.6078 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.6127, 1.6139, 1.6152

Support Levels: 1.6102, 1.6090, 1.6078

USDJPY HIGH 86.629 LOW 86.066 BID 86.450 ASK 86.458 CHANGE 0.41% TIME 07:51:57

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Up
trend

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Low

Upwards scenario: USDJPY might find buyers above the important resistance level at 86.63 (R1). Break here would open route towards to our next targets at 86.80 (R2) and 86.63 (R3). Downwards scenario: While instrument trades below the next resistance level, our intraday bias forecast would be negative. Penetration below the support level at 86.14 (S1) might open way towards to lower targets at 85.95 (S2) and 85.75 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 86.63, 86.80, 86.98

Support Levels: 86.14, 85.95, 85.75

MARKETING COMMUNICATION DISCLAIMER: The content of this material is a marketing communication, and not independent investment research. As such, the legal and regulatory requirements in relation to independent investment research do not apply to this material and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of its dissemination.

The material is for general information purposes only (whether or not it states any opinions). It does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) legal, financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by FX Central Clearing Ltd. (“FXCC”) or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

Although the information set out in this marketing communication is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, FXCC makes no guarantee as to its accuracy or completeness. All information is indicative and subject to change without notice and may be out of date at any given time. Neither FXCC, nor the author of this material shall be responsible for any loss that you may incur, either directly or indirectly, arising from any investment based on any information contained herein.

This material may include charts displaying financial instruments' past performance as well as estimates and forecasts. Any information relating to past performance of an investment does not necessarily guarantee future performance.

Unless otherwise stated, the prices used in the examples are FXCC’s own prices, and not those of third parties.

RISK WARNING: Trading in Forex and Contracts for Difference (CFDs) is highly speculative and involves substantial risk of loss. It is possible to lose all your capital. Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors. Only invest with money you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved before investing. Seek independent advice if necessary.