FXCC
FXCC FXCC FXCC
FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC
MARKET UPDATE 28.10.2013

2013-10-28 01:30 GMT

China indicates the release of unprecedented economic measures when it holds its next government meeting.

There are several USA high impact news events for Monday that could affect market sentiment. Pending home sales is expected to increase to 0.5% month on month from a surprise fall of -1.6% last month. Industrial production data is expected to increase to 0.5% month on month. Economists forecast no change in purchases, the worst reading in six months, after a 0.2 percent advance in August, according to a survey ahead of Commerce Department figures due Oct. 29th. Sales excluding motor vehicle dealers may have increased 0.4 percent in September, a sign other merchants had more success selling to customers. The RBA governor Stevens speaks later in the afternoon, investors in AUS and speculators in the Aussie will be looking for any clues regarding a base interest rate cut which appeared to be off the table in last week's notes from the RBA. Japan issues a raft of data on Monday; retail sales, unemployment and household spending which if poor the Nikkei could fall with a corresponding rise in yen as a safe haven. Retail sales are expected to rise, unemployment to fall to 4%, but household spending is also predicted to increase by 0.7%.

On Sunday evening China signaled what it's terming unprecedented policy revisions in a statement regarding a communist meeting to be held next month. China has pared its growth ambitions, targeting annual expansion of 7 percent this decade, compared with the 10.5 percent average pace of the last 10 years. Chinese Politburo member Yu Zhengsheng said; "The meeting will focus on studying comprehensive and deep reform. The depth and strength of the reforms will be unprecedented and will promote profound changes in every area of the economy and society.” The dollar had its first back-to-back weekly losses versus the euro in a month as weaker-than-forecast economic data added to bets the Federal Reserve will put off slowing stimulus to help the U.S. economy strengthen. The U.S. currency depreciated 0.8 percent to $1.3802 per euro last week in New York and touched $1.3832 on Friday, the weakest level since November 2011. The dollar declined 0.3 percent to 97.42 yen. Europe’s 17-nation shared currency gained 0.5 percent to 134.46 yen in a third weekly advance. It touched 135.51 yen on Oct. 22nd, the highest since November 2009.

2013-10-28 13:15 GMT

US Industrial Production (MoM) (Sep)

2013-10-28 14:00 GMT

US Pending Home Sales (YoY) (Sep)

2013-10-28 22:30 GMT

RBA's Governor Glenn Stevens Speech

2013-10-28 23:30 GMT

JP Unemployment Rate (Sep)

2013-10-28 06:37 GMT

EUR/GBP opens lower ahead of German data – trading range bound short-term

2013-10-28 06:20 GMT

EUR/USD hovers around 1.3800, ahead of a batch of US data, FOMC

2013-10-28 06:06 GMT

USD/CHF trading higher to start weak; technicians skeptical with 0.8750 downside target

2013-10-28 05:04 GMT

GBP/USD consolidates around 1.6180 area, awaiting the severe storm in UK

AUDUSD
0.95997 / 002
NZDUSD
0.82968 / 976
USDCHF
0.89377 / 384
USDCAD
1.04395 / 397
GBPJPY
157.906 / 915
EURCHF
1.23338 / 346
GOLD
1349.45 / .70
SILVER
22.54 / .55
EURUSD HIGH 1.38177 LOW 1.37959 BID 1.38003 ASK 1.38005 CHANGE -0.02% TIME 08:49:13

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Neutral

TREND CONDITION

Sideway

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Low

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: EURUSD is approaching our key resistive measure at 1.3833 (R1). If the price manages to overcome it we would suggest next intraday targets at 1.3862 (R2) and 1.3892 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, our next supportive barrier at 1.3775 (S1) prevents possible correction development. Break here is required to enable downside expansion towards to our intraday targets at 1.3745 (S2) and 1.3714 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3833, 1.3862, 1.3892

Support Levels: 1.3775, 1.3745, 1.3714

GBPUSD HIGH 1.61895 LOW 1.61615 BID 1.61796 ASK 1.61798 CHANGE 0.1% TIME 08:49:14

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Neutral

TREND CONDITION

Sideway

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Low

Upwards scenario: Possible penetration above the resistance level at 1.6205 (R1) is liable to open way towards to our initial targets at 1.6233 (R2) and 1.6261 (R3). Downwards scenario: In terms of technical levels, risk of price depreciation is seen below the support level at 1.6150 (S1). Loss here would suggest to monitor marks at 1.6123 (S2) and 1.6097 (S3) as possible intraday targets.

Resistance Levels: 1.6205, 1.6233, 1.6261

Support Levels: 1.6150, 1.6123, 1.6097

USDJPY HIGH 97.733 LOW 97.446 BID 97.587 ASK 97.591 CHANGE 0.2% TIME 08:49:15

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Upward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bullish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

Upwards scenario: Instrument gained momentum on the upside recently, turning short-term bias to the positive side. Further upwards penetration above the resistance at 97.74 (R1) might enable bullish forces and expose our initial targets at 97.87 (R2) and 98.00 (R3). Downwards scenario: Risk of further market decline is seen below the next support level at 97.44 (S1). Loss here is liable to downgrade currency rate towards to the next supportive means at 97.31 (S2) and 97.18 (S3) in potential.

Resistance Levels: 97.74, 97.87, 98.00

Support Levels: 97.44, 97.31, 97.18

MARKETING COMMUNICATION DISCLAIMER: The content of this material is a marketing communication, and not independent investment research. As such, the legal and regulatory requirements in relation to independent investment research do not apply to this material and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of its dissemination.

The material is for general information purposes only (whether or not it states any opinions). It does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) legal, financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by FX Central Clearing Ltd. (“FXCC”) or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

Although the information set out in this marketing communication is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, FXCC makes no guarantee as to its accuracy or completeness. All information is indicative and subject to change without notice and may be out of date at any given time. Neither FXCC, nor the author of this material shall be responsible for any loss that you may incur, either directly or indirectly, arising from any investment based on any information contained herein.

This material may include charts displaying financial instruments' past performance as well as estimates and forecasts. Any information relating to past performance of an investment does not necessarily guarantee future performance.

Unless otherwise stated, the prices used in the examples are FXCC’s own prices, and not those of third parties.

RISK WARNING: Trading in Forex and Contracts for Difference (CFDs) is highly speculative and involves substantial risk of loss. It is possible to lose all your capital. Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors. Only invest with money you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved before investing. Seek independent advice if necessary.