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MARKET UPDATE 28.09.2012

2012-09-28 01:29 GMT

First Spanish banks stress test leaks

According to James Glynn, Senior Economics Reporter Dow Jones/Wall Street Journal, "6 Spanish banks have been found to hold sufficient capital levels, while the remaining 8 that were stress tested will need more." Majors are unchanged 90m into the Japan open, with HK opening now, which should bring some wider moves.

Friday's London session will see Spanish current account being published, along with French GDP final at 05:30 GMT, followed by German retail sales 30 minutes later, French consumer spending and PPI 45 minutes after, Spanish CPI at 07:00 GMT, Italian PPI 1 hour later, EU and Italy CPI at 09:00 GMT, and ECB governing council member Asmussen to give a speech in Berlin at 11:00 GMT.

Read More

2012-09-28 07:00 GMT

Switzerland. KOF Leading Indicator

2012-09-28 12:30 GMT

Canada. Gross Domestic Product

2012-09-28 12:30 GMT

United States. Core Personal Consumption Expenditure - Prices Index

2012-09-28 13:55 GMT

United States. Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index

2012-09-28 04:39 GMT

EUR/USD above 1.29 ahead of Spanish banking sector stress test results

2012-09-28 03:55 GMT

NZD/USD triggers stops above 0.8350

2012-09-28 02:35 GMT

USD selling off across the board

2012-09-28 01:54 GMT

USD/JPY on a dovish gradient - OCBC

AUDUSD
1.04646 / 653
NZDUSD
0.83537 / 547
USDCHF
0.93557 / 566
USDCAD
0.97882 / 892
GBPJPY
126.077 / 092
EURCHF
1.21000 / 013
GOLD
1781.42 / .70
SILVER
34.76 / .78
EURUSD 1.29338 / 1.29342
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.2995

1.2969

1.2944

1.2907

1.2884

1.2858

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Upward
penetration

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical Summary: It seems that gradual decline from the major upside move expressed in correction formation comes to the end soon. Our next resistance level is the key point for the further uptrend development, if the market failed to break it today we expect to see decline below the suggested support level.Main scenario: Appreciation above the next resistance level at 1.2944 (R1) would suggest next targets at 1.2969 (R2) and 1.2995 (R3) for today and determine medium term bias. Alternative scenario: Bearish penetration below the support at 1.2907 (S1) would then targeting 1.2884 (S2) and 1.2858 (S3) intraday.

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GBPUSD 1.62613 / 1.62623
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.6294

1.6281

1.6269

1.6243

1.6231

1.6217

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Upward
penetration

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Overbought

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical Summary: Yesterday positive tendency remains in power with the significant strengthening for the morning hours today. In near future we expect to see some consolidation and possibly pull back. However if it manage to stabilize above the next resistance level, market sentiment would be clearly bullish. Main scenario: Potential is seen for break above the 1.6269 level (R1) and open initial targets at 1.6281 (R2) and 1.6294 (R3) levels. Alternative scenario: Downside development remains for now limited by next support level at 1.6243 (S1), with only clear break here would be a signal of market weakening with next targets at 1.6231 (S2) and 1.6217(S3).

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USDJPY 77.533 / 77.538
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

77.89

77.76

77.63

77.45

77.31

77.17

SUMMARY

Sideway

TREND

Downward
penetration

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Oversold

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical Summary: USDJPY almost reached our target at 77.45 and we expect further decline today as main scenario. It is clearly seen that pair broke sideways channel and volatility start gaining momentum on the hourly chart. Stochastic Oscillator is oversold and this is a good signal for the bearish market participants under the trend market conditions. Main scenario: Our next support locates at yesterday target – 77.45 (S1). Break here would open route towards to our next targets at 77.31 (S2) and 77.17 (S3). Alternative scenario: Appreciation above the next resistance level at 77.63 (R1) would suggest next targets at 77.76 (R2) and 77.89 (R3) on the upside part.

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