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MARKET UPDATE 27.11.2012

2012-11-27 01:13 GMT

More funding for Greece finally approved

The EU reached a deal to reduce Greek debt to 124 % of the GDP in 2020 through a package of extra steps amounting 20 % of GDP, that was the headline from Reuters earlier in the Asian session. Reporters, however, had to arm themselves with patience until concrete details out of Brussels came out. Once the Eurogroup press conference was on past 1am Brussels time, Jean-Claude Juncker, president of the Eurogroup, provided the first remarks to the press, saying "today we reached political agreement on next disbursement to Greece", adding that despite has been a difficult decision, "I am complimenting the Greek gov't, I am complimenting the Greek parliament".

The Eurogroup will formally decide on the disbursement December 13 if national parliaments approve tonight's deal. For now, what has been written in the draft document is that Greece aid disbursement of around €44 bln will be provided under 3 tranches. The first €34.4 bln loan is expected by mid December once green light from parliaments is given, and through Q1 2013 the rest, subject to implementation of its ongoing austerity program.-FXstreet.com

2012-11-27 09:30 GMT

United Kingdom. Gross Domestic Product

2012-11-27 13:30 GMT

United States. Durable Goods Orders

2012-11-27 15:00 GMT

United States. Consumer Confidence

2012-11-27 19:00 GMT

United States. Fed's Beige Book

2012-11-27 05:40 GMT

Greece buys time; Will EUR/USD buy into Greece?

2012-11-27 05:38 GMT

GBP/USD flat below 1.6050 ahead of UK GDP

2012-11-27 05:13 GMT

EUR/GBP bid above 0.8100

2012-11-27 04:15 GMT

AUD/JPY asks above 86 round heavy

AUDUSD
1.04775 / 783
NZDUSD
0.82325 / 336
USDCHF
0.92735 / 748
USDCAD
0.99248 / 257
GBPJPY
131.921 / 937
EURCHF
1.20433 / 443
GOLD
1749.81 / .27
SILVER
34.18 / .23
EURUSD HIGH 1.30087 LOW 1.29694 BID 1.29856 ASK 1.29862 CHANGE 0.11% TIME 08:29:07

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Up
trend

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Our retail trading market sentiment indicator shows, that majority of traders have sold during the EURUSD appreciation. Penetration above the 1.3010 (R1) might lead to the protective orders execution and drive market price towards to next targets at 1.3029 (R2) and 1.3046 (R3). Downwards scenario: Market stabilized after the previous day’s gains and looks ready to establish correction. Market decline below the next support level at 1.2967 (S1) would suggest next targets at 1.2948 (S2) and 1.2929 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3010, 1.3029, 1.3046

Support Levels: 1.2967, 1.2948, 1.2929

GBPUSD HIGH 1.60447 LOW 1.60226 BID 1.60369 ASK 1.60378 CHANGE 0.06% TIME 08:29:08

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Upward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bullish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

Upwards scenario: Today in focus GDP announcement at 09:30 GMT. Our next resistance level is placed above the local peak at 1.6051 (R1) (High of 23/11/2012). Strengthening above it would point to resistive structure at 1.6067 (R2) onto 1.6081(R3). Downwards scenario: Downside fluctuations remains for now limited to next support level at 1.6025 (S1), only clear break here would be a signal of market easing with next targets at 1.6010 (S2) and 1.5996 (S3) in potential.

Resistance Levels: 1.6051, 1.6067, 1.6081

Support Levels: 1.6025, 1.6010, 1.5996

USDJPY HIGH 82.305 LOW 81.858 BID 82.273 ASK 82.279 CHANGE 0.26% TIME 08:29:09

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Upward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

Upwards scenario: Longer term we look for a move above the 82.43 (R1). Loss here might establish new step of uptrend formation and target 82.61 (R2) en route to 82.79 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the short –term perspective we expect market decline. A Bearish signal would be created if the currency dropped below the next support level at 82.09 (S1). We suggest next targets in such scenario at 81.92 (S2) and 81.76 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 82.43, 82.61, 82.79

Support Levels: 82.09, 81.92, 81.76

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