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MARKET UPDATE 26.09.2012

2012-09-26 03:27 GMT

S&P downgrades South Australia

Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services said today that it has lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on the Australian State of South Australia and the state’s financing arm, South Australian Government Financing Authority, to ‘AA’ from ‘AA+’. At the same time, we affirmed the ‘A-1+’ short-term rating on both entities. The outlook is stable.

"The London session will be a relatively quiet one in EUR macro related terms, starting with French consumer confidence at 06:45 GMT, followed by Italy retail sales at 08:00 GMT, and German preliminary CPI at 12:00 GMT. In the sovereign debt auctions front Germany will try to sell up to € 5B in 10 year bunds at 06:00 GMT, while Italy will auction up to € 9B in 6-month bills. Germany 10 year yields closed yesterday in a relative safe 1.55% well above all time record lows from July at 1.12%, while Italy 10y yields hover around 5%. EU Vice President Rehn will attend final day at Havard University today." Traders should also be alerted to possible headlines on the Spanish-bailout, protests front, Greece funding issues and any other EZ debt crisis-related news.

Read More

2012-09-26 08:30 GMT

United Kingdom. BOE Credit Conditions Survey

2012-09-26 10:00 GMT

United Kingdom. CBI Distributive Trades Survey - Realized

2012-09-26 14:00 GMT

United States. New Home Sales

2012-09-26 14:30 GMT

United States. EIA Crude Oil Stocks change

2012-09-26 04:43 GMT

GBP/USD stops triggered below 1.6150

2012-09-26 04:19 GMT

EUR/USD breaks down to 9-day lows

2012-09-26 03:06 GMT

AUD/CAD, a good sell into strength - Westpac

2012-09-26 02:57 GMT

AUD/JPY decline extends; 38.2% Fibo support in sight

AUDUSD
1.03533 / 540
NZDUSD
0.81969 / 977
USDCHF
0.93913 / 924
USDCAD
0.98145 / 153
GBPJPY
125.694 / 711
EURCHF
1.20908 / 923
GOLD
1762.13 / .41
SILVER
33.87 / .89
EURUSD 1.28735 / 1.28739
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.2970

1.2935

1.2899

1.2860

1.2827

1.2793

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Downward
penetration

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical Summary: Technically, market sentiment is bearish now and we expect further instrument depreciation on the medium term perspective. However fresh low, form today is acting as a bottom peak of downwards channel on the hourly chart and pull back is possible towards to our resistance levels on the short term Main scenario: Further price decrease is expected below the next support level at 1.2860 (S1). Break here is required to enable next targets at 1.2827 (S2) and 1.2793 (S3). Alternative scenario: On the other hand, consolidation looks reasonable today. The price progress above the next resistance at 1.2899 (R1) might expose next targets at 1.2935 (R2) and 1.2970 (R3) in potential.

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GBPUSD 1.61679 / 1.61686
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.6237

1.6214

1.6190

1.6149

1.6125

1.6099

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Downward
penetration

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical Summary: Pair already lost -0.15% percent from its opening price today and we expect some volatility increase later on today. Medium term bias is negative for the instrument and we might see new lows ahead. Main scenario: Next support level locates at fresh low, formed today -1.6149 (S1), pushdown of the price is possible below this level. We suggest next targets at 1.6125 (S2) and 1.6099 (S3). Alternative scenario: Failure to go lower suggested support level will put in focus our resistance level at 1.6190 (R1), break here would suggest next targets at 1.6214 (R2) and 1.6237 (R3).

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USDJPY 77.743 / 77.749
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

78.20

78.06

77.91

77.65

77.48

77.31

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Sideway

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical Summary: Yesterday instrument trades without a priority in direction. Stochastic Oscillator is approaching bottom zone and we expect to see some consolidation ahead in such market setup with price progress towards to our resistance levels. Main scenario: A break of technically important level at 77.91 (R1) might determine positive bias for today. Next suggested targets for upside direction locates at 78.06 (R2) and 78.20 (R3). Alternative scenario: If the pair gain momentum on the down side and retest our support level at 77.65 (S1), we suggest next targets at 77.48 (S2) and 77.31 (S3).

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