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MARKET UPDATE 25.10.2012

2012-10-25 03:59 GMT

RBNZ rate cut expected ‘next few months'

As expected, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) kept its cash rate on hold at 2.5% today, with Gov. Wheeler noting that market sentiment has improved, that the risks to the global outlook have become more balanced, that a strong NZD undermines the fundamentals of the NZ’s economy, which, he says, is expected to continue growing at a modest pace.

Daniel Martin, economist at Capital Economics (Asia) notes: “Recent data suggest that GDP stabilised or even picked up slightly in Q3, after a slowdown in Q2. However, we expect subdued global growth and currency strength to prompt the RBNZ into a rate cut over the next few months.”

Read More

2012-10-25 08:30 GMT

United Kingdom. Gross Domestic Product

2012-10-25 12:30 GMT

United States. Durable Goods Orders

2012-10-25 21:00 GMT

New Zealand. Trade Balance

2012-10-25 23:30 GMT

Japan. National Consumer Price Index

2012-10-25 05:29 GMT

EUR/USD stops come first, technicals later

2012-10-25 04:41 GMT

GBP/USD in tight range ahead of UK GDP data

2012-10-25 03:28 GMT

AUD/JPY retesting 83.00 range resistance

2012-10-25 01:32 GMT

AUD/USD slowly inching higher; key Fibo nearby

AUDUSD
1.03649 / 654
NZDUSD
0.82247 / 257
USDCHF
0.93145 / 154
USDCAD
0.99258 / 266
GBPJPY
128.463 / 476
EURCHF
1.20961 / 969
GOLD
1707.88 / .16
SILVER
31.92 / .94
EURUSD 1.29861 / 1.29864
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.3029

1.3013

1.2997

1.2977

1.2961

1.2945

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Upward
penetration

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical Summary: EURUSD stabilized on the positive side today and attempt to reach yesterday high. If it fails to overcome it we expect further market decline as main scenario for today. Main scenario: Risk of further market weakening is seen below the next support level at 1.2977 (S1). Break here is required to expose next targets at 1.2961 (S2) and 1.2945 (S3). Alternative scenario: In case of market appreciation above the next resistance at 1.2997 (R1), we suggest next target at 1.3013 (R2) and any further rise would then be targeting 1.3029 (R3).

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GBPUSD 1.60472 / 1.60479
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.6095

1.6081

1.6067

1.6048

1.6033

1.6019

SUMMARY

Up

TREND

Up
trend

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Overbought

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical Summary: GBPUSD gained momentum on the positive side and currently trades on its high. We expect further price appreciation later on today towards to our resistance levels. Main scenario: Our next resistance level is placed at 1.6067(R1). Clearance here would suggest next targets at 1.6081(R2) and 1.6095 (R3). Alternative scenario: Fall below the support level at 1.6048 (S1) would provide us with a signal of further downtrend formation. We expect next targets at 1.6033 (S2) and 1.6019 (S3) in such scenario.

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USDJPY 80.054 / 80.058
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

80.50

80.34

80.17

79.95

79.79

79.63

SUMMARY

Up

TREND

Up
trend

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Overbought

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical Summary: Instrument has settled correction on the hourly timeframe and currently trades under the bullish pressure. Further rise is likely scenario for today. Main scenario: We expect attack to the next resistance level at 80.17 (R1). Clearance here is required for the instrument strengthening towards to our next targets at 80.34 (R2) and 80.50 (R3) in potential. Alternative scenario: The downside trend evolvement is limited by next support level 79.95 (S1), break here might lead to the targets execution at 79.79 (S2) and 79.63 (S3).

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