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MARKET UPDATE 25.01.2013

2013-01-25 06:10 GMT

The Euro is here to stay; momentum is for higher Euro and lower Yen

The emblematic investor George Soros, speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davo (Switzerland) told the audience that "the euro is now here to stay," according to Bloomberg. Soros was one of the main detractor of the shared-currency back in June last year, when structural problems in Europe were escalating, peripheral yields were going through the roof, and another long list resulting on a grey outlook for the currency. However, once the ECB President Mario Draghi sent the famous message "the ECB will do whatever it takes to save the euro", only then, a change in Soros' opinions started to form, thus he shared with the audience that the immediate crisis is over.

Although he stressed that "there is no time for complacency, and that austerity is not what Europe needs right now" notes Matthew Boesler from Business Insider. Soros added that the next 12 to 24 months will still be "very tense," as Germany will continue to err on the side of caution when taking bold actions needed to re-assure to investors the survival of the euro. Further comments from Soros, courtesy of Tony Connelly, Europe Editor for RTE News, Ireland's public service broadcaster: "The momentum is for the euro to rise and the Yen to fall, but it will be resisted by the US. The divergence between the Yen and euro will be aggravated, will badly affect Germany. Europe is an outlier in that it's not involved in quantitave easing."-Fxstreet.com

N/A

All. World Economic Forum - Davos

2013-01-25 09:30 GMT

United kingdom. Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (Q4)Preliminar

2013-01-25 13:30 GMT

Canada. Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core (YoY) (Dec)

2013-01-25 15:00 GMT

United States. New Home Sales (MoM) (Dec)

2013-01-25 06:24 GMT

USD/JPY at fresh cycle highs; Japan deflation same as it ever was

2013-01-25 05:49 GMT

EUR/USD communicating a 1.34 breakout?

2013-01-25 05:43 GMT

EUR/GBP threatening fresh 11-month highs above 0.8470

2013-01-25 05:10 GMT

GBP/JPY erases all weekly loses back above 142.50

AUDUSD
1.04483 / 494
NZDUSD
0.83608 / 621
USDCHF
0.92979 / 993
USDCAD
1.00337 / 350
GBPJPY
142.726 / 745
EURCHF
1.24291 / 315
GOLD
1669.46 / .74
SILVER
31.65 / .67
EURUSD HIGH 1.33791 LOW 1.33497 BID 1.33664 ASK 1.33671 CHANGE -0.06% TIME 08:39:31

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Upward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Our next resistance level lie at 1.3380 (R1). Rise above it might provide sufficient space for the appreciation towards to next target at 1.3392 (R2). Further market increase above it would face final resistance at 1.3403 (R3).Downwards scenario: We placed our support level right below the local low formed today at 1.3349 (S1). Break here would be essential to begin the short-term bearish momentum. Initial targets could be found at 1.3339 (S2) and 1.3329 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3380, 1.3392, 1.3403

Support Levels: 1.3349, 1.3339, 1.3329

GBPUSD HIGH 1.57908 LOW 1.57614 BID 1.57656 ASK 1.57664 CHANGE -0.13% TIME 08:39:32

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Down

TREND CONDITION

Downward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bullish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

Upwards scenario: Risk of price appreciation is seen above the next resistance level at 1.5796 (R1). Surpassing of this level would suggest next target at 1.5819 (R2) and any further rise would then be targeting 1.5841 (R3).Downwards scenario: If market holds its downside momentum, we expect attack to the next support level at 1.5756 (S1). Successful retest of this level would open way towards to initial targets at 1.5733 (S2) and 1.5710 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.5796, 1.5819, 1.5841

Support Levels: 1.5756, 1.5733, 1.5710

USDJPY HIGH 90.685 LOW 90.291 BID 90.519 ASK 90.526 CHANGE 0.21% TIME 08:39:33

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Up
trend

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bullish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

Upwards scenario: Medium-term bias is clearly positive after the sufficient price appreciation yesterday. Fresh high formed today acts now as next resistance level at 90.68 (R1). Above here open way towards to next targets at 90.88 (R2) and then at 91.07 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the slightly short term perspective correction development looks reasonable. Below the fresh low formed today locates our next support level at 90.29 (S1). Break here is required to open a route towards to next targets at 90.08 (S2) and potentially to 89.88 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 90.68, 90.88, 91.07

Support Levels: 90.29, 90.08, 89.88

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