FXCC
FXCC FXCC FXCC
FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC
MARKET UPDATE 24.04.2013

2013-04-24 04:20 GMT

Spain might get EU deficit target extension

The EU signalized on Tuesday that Spain might be granted two more years to reach the deficit target. Additionally, the President of the European Commission José Manuel Durão Barroso said yesterday that 2013 deficit targets for other EU countries could also be eased. EU sources suggested that the European Commission could allow Spain to have a budget deficit of 6.5% this year and that deadline for it to reach 3% could be extended by two more years. Barroso said that the correction of budgetary imbalances in Greece, Portugal and Spain has been very impressive and that the European Commission is considering extending the deadlines for the correction of excessive deficits also for other EU Member States, as the objective is to combine the adjustment of deficits and debt with growth in the short term.

Yesterday weak German PMI data release (47.9 actual vs. 49.1 estimates) fueled more talk of possible ECB rate cuts in the coming months. Although the EURUSD did close below the 1.3000 level, some analysts found the lack of follow through to the downside impressive and believe the key will be to see how it reacts to data in coming sessions. The main report due out today will be the German IFO which is released at 8:00 GMT. Economic data out of the UK is light in the coming session, with Mortgage Approvals due out at 8:30 GMT. The US session will also be fairly quiet with Durable Goods due out at 12:30 GMT.-FXstreet.com

2013-04-24 08:00 GMT

Germany. IFO - Business Climate

2013-04-24 08:30 GMT

UK. BBA Mortgage Approvals

2013-04-24 12:30 GMT

USA. Durable Goods Orders

2013-04-24 20:15 GMT

Canada. BoC Governor Mark Carney Speech

2013-04-24 04:26 GMT

EUR/USD pressured by German PMI data, German IFO on tap next

2013-04-24 03:08 GMT

GBP/USD still forming possible “bear flag” on daily chart

2013-04-24 02:25 GMT

AUD/JPY still range bound after Aussie CPI data disappoints

2013-04-24 02:09 GMT

NZD/USD eases below 0.8450

AUDUSD
1.02548 / 557
NZDUSD
0.84449 / 459
USDCHF
0.94474 / 484
USDCAD
1.02603 / 610
GBPJPY
151.662 / 677
EURCHF
1.22857 / 870
GOLD
1428.74 / .02
SILVER
23.23 / .25
EURUSD HIGH 1.30104 LOW 1.29882 BID 1.30053 ASK 1.30059 CHANGE 0.03% TIME 08:44:38

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Down

TREND CONDITION

Downward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bullish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Instrument gained momentum on the downside recently, turning short-term bias to the negative side. However upwards penetration above the resistance at 1.3012 (R1) would enable bullish forces and might drive market price towards to our initial targets at 1.3031 (R2) and 1.3051 (R3). Downwards scenario: Fresh low formed today offers an important supportive mark at 1.2987 (S1). Depreciation below it might shift medium-term tendency to the bearish side and validate our next intraday targets at 1.2970 (S2) and 1.2953 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3012, 1.3031, 1.3051

Support Levels: 1.2987, 1.2970, 1.2953

GBPUSD HIGH 1.52502 LOW 1.52265 BID 1.52483 ASK 1.52491 CHANGE 0.08% TIME 08:44:38

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Neutral

TREND CONDITION

Sideway

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

Upwards scenario: Upside formation is limited now to the next resistive barrier at 1.5253 (R1). Clearance here is required to provide a space for a move towards to next target at 1.5267 (R2) and then final aim would be 1.5282 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other side, any prolonged movement below the support at 1.5225 (S1) might enable downside forces and drive market price towards to supportive means at 1.5211 (S2) and 1.5197 (S3) later on today

Resistance Levels: 1.5253, 1.5267, 1.5282

Support Levels: 1.5225, 1.5211, 1.5197

USDJPY HIGH 99.761 LOW 99.193 BID 99.386 ASK 99.391 CHANGE -0.06% TIME 08:44:39

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Upward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bullish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

Upwards scenario: USDJPY trapped to the consolidation phase after the upside development. Fresh high at 99.77 (R1) offers a good resistance level. Break here is required to take the pair towards to initial targets at 100.13 (R2) and 100.48 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, prolonged movement below the initial support level at 99.15 (S1) might trigger protective orders execution and drive market price towards to supportive means at 98.77 (S2) and 98.40 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 99.77, 100.13, 100.48

Support Levels: 99.15, 98.77, 98.40

MARKETING COMMUNICATION DISCLAIMER: The content of this material is a marketing communication, and not independent investment research. As such, the legal and regulatory requirements in relation to independent investment research do not apply to this material and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of its dissemination.

The material is for general information purposes only (whether or not it states any opinions). It does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) legal, financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by FX Central Clearing Ltd. (“FXCC”) or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

Although the information set out in this marketing communication is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, FXCC makes no guarantee as to its accuracy or completeness. All information is indicative and subject to change without notice and may be out of date at any given time. Neither FXCC, nor the author of this material shall be responsible for any loss that you may incur, either directly or indirectly, arising from any investment based on any information contained herein.

This material may include charts displaying financial instruments' past performance as well as estimates and forecasts. Any information relating to past performance of an investment does not necessarily guarantee future performance.

Unless otherwise stated, the prices used in the examples are FXCC’s own prices, and not those of third parties.

RISK WARNING: Trading in Forex and Contracts for Difference (CFDs) is highly speculative and involves substantial risk of loss. It is possible to lose all your capital. Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors. Only invest with money you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved before investing. Seek independent advice if necessary.