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MARKET UPDATE 23.11.2012

2012-11-23 05:46 GMT

Greece edges towards a debt deal; IMF lowers demands

Greece may soon breathe a sigh of relief, as a deal with the Troika looks closer, according to Greek-based paper ekathimeini, citing Finance Minister Yannis Stournaras who suggests only 10 billion euros stand in the way of a deal.From ekathimeini: "Sources said that another 8 to 10 billion euros was needed to meet the target." the Greek paper also reports that "the IMF has accepted that Greek debt will not meet its target of 120 percent of GDP in 2020 and is willing for this to change to 124 percent in the same year."

German Chancellor Angela Merckel said after the meeting she doubts an agreement will be reached on EU budget this week, and will likely need another few sessions of negotiations. She added positions are too far apart for now. Meanwhile, according to an official statement by the European Council, Yves Mersch has been appointed to the executive board of the European Central Bank for a term of eight years as from 15 December. He will succeed José Manuel González-Páramo, who completed his term of office on 31 May.

N/A

European Monetary Union. European Council meeting

2012-11-23 07:00 GMT

Germany. Gross Domestic Product

2012-11-23 09:30 GMT

United Kingdom. BBA Mortgage Approvals

2012-11-23 13:30 GMT

Canada. Consumer Price Index

2012-11-23 05:50 GMT

GBP/USD makes 10-year volatility lows while around 1.5950

2012-11-23 04:47 GMT

USD/JPY in the red below 82.50 for first time in a week

2012-11-23 03:40 GMT

USD/CAD 0.99 a decent support area - TDS

2012-11-23 02:57 GMT

EUR/USD finds bids above 1.2870

AUDUSD
1.03963 / 970
NZDUSD
0.81665 / 675
USDCHF
0.93466 / 478
USDCAD
0.99775 / 785
GBPJPY
131.193 / 207
EURCHF
1.20447 / 460
GOLD
1729.88 / .16
SILVER
33.33 / .35
EURUSD HIGH 1.28939 LOW 1.28685 BID 1.28939 ASK 1.28940 CHANGE 0.06% TIME 08:13:26

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Up
trend

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: We placed our next resistance level above the yesterday high at 1.2899 (R1). If the market manages to overcome it, next resistance in focus would be 1.2917 (R2) and any further rise would then be targeting 1.2935 (R3).Downwards scenario: The pair continues to extend its strengthening on the medium- term perspective, however a breach of our next support level at 1.2868 (S1) might trigger downside formation towards to our next targets at 1.2851 (S2) and 1.2839 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.2899, 1.2917, 1.2935

Support Levels: 1.2868, 1.2851, 1.2839

GBPUSD HIGH 1.59526 LOW 1.59336 BID 1.59526 ASK 1.59530 CHANGE 0.1% TIME 08:13:27

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Upward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

Upwards scenario: BBA Mortgage Approvals release at 09:30 GMT in focus. Break above the next resistance level at 1.5959 (R1) would suggest next targets at 1.5969 (R2) and 1.5978 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: From the technical side, market sentiment is not clear. Next attractive level for the downside development locates at 1.5939 (S1). Loss here might take the pair towards to eventual targets at 1.5928 (S2) and 1.5918 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.5959, 1.5969, 1.5978

Support Levels: 1.5939, 1.5928, 1.5918

USDJPY HIGH 82.506 LOW 82.181 BID 82.268 ASK 82.272 CHANGE -0.24% TIME 08:13:28

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Downward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

Upwards scenario: Medium term bias remains positive after correction, provided today. Our next resistance is placed at 82.44 (R1). Rise above it might push price towards to next targets at 82.61 (R2) and 82.77 (R3) intraday.Downwards scenario: Instrument trades below the moving averages and we expect the pair to extend its losses later on today. Below the support level at 82.15 (S1) locates initial retracement targets at 81.98 (S2) and 81.82 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 82.44, 82.61, 82.77

Support Levels: 82.15, 81.98, 81.82

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