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MARKET UPDATE 21.06.2013

2013-06-21 04:25 GMT

EU Fin Min struck deal on bank bailouts

Eurozone ministers struck a deal over the origin of funds for bank bailouts from now on. While the local government will contribute 20% of the new capital, the ESM (European Stability Mechanism) bailout fund will become the major contributor with an 80%, according to an official cited by Reuters. Moreover, EU finance ministers made an agreement for the ESM to be used as an investment vehicle for banks under stress, with each being assessed individually to become eligible to the aid, Reuters reported. With regards to Cyprus, EU Finance Ministers were clear that Cyprus must live up to its word by fulfilling its financial obligations. Furthermore, President of the Eurogroup Dijsselbloem was quoted on a headline saying "Implementation of agreed Cypriot baliout program is indispensible", noting that implementation is key for the Bank of Cyrus, also adding that there is likely to be a limit of 60bn euro on direct bank recap fund, although this can be reviewed.

The EUR/USD suffered more losses today, declining another 75 pips and closing at 1.3218. However, it should be noted the pair did trade as low as 1.3160 at one point, but was able to recover a decent portion of its losses before the end of the day. Analysts were discussing the release of the most recent EU PMI figures, which hit the tape during the previous European session.-FXstreet.com

24h

EMU. EcoFin Meeting

2013-06-21 06:35 GMT

Japan. Bank of Japan Governor Kuroda Speech

2013-06-21 07:00 GMT

Switzerland. Monthly Statistical Bulletin (Jun)

2013-06-21 12:30 GMT

Canada. Consumer Price Index (YoY)

2013-06-21 04:25 GMT

EUR/USD attempting to holds its ground, finds firm bids near 1.3160

2013-06-21 03:31 GMT

USD/JPY to revist 100.00 next week - Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ

2013-06-21 02:46 GMT

AUD/USD edging higher towards 0.9250

2013-06-21 02:10 GMT

EUR/JPY advances capped below 130.00

AUDUSD
0.92346 / 354
NZDUSD
0.77812 / 819
USDCHF
0.92684 / 694
USDCAD
1.03798 / 807
GBPJPY
151.382 / 394
EURCHF
1.22714 / 724
GOLD
1296.96 / .20
SILVER
19.86 / .87
EURUSD HIGH 1.32545 LOW 1.31995 BID 1.32345 ASK 1.32348 CHANGE 0.12% TIME 08:31:10

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Down

TREND CONDITION

Upward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: We are not expecting busy session ahead however upwards extension above the resistance at 1.3255 (R1) level would keep the bullish structure intact and validate our next intraday targets at 1.3272 (R2) and 1.3287 (R3). Downwards scenario: Our key support level locates at 1.3223 (S1) mark. Possible penetration below this mark would open way towards to next target at 1.3206 (S2) and then final support locates at 1.3190 (S3) price level.

Resistance Levels: 1.3255, 1.3272, 1.3287

Support Levels: 1.3223, 1.3206, 1.3190

GBPUSD HIGH 1.55228 LOW 1.54896 BID 1.54975 ASK 1.54987 CHANGE -0.06% TIME 08:31:11

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Down

TREND CONDITION

Upward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

Upwards scenario: Local high, formed today offers a key resistive barrier at 1.5525 (R1). If the price manages to overcome it we would suggest next intraday targets at 1.5549 (R2) and 1.5572 (R3). Downwards scenario: Though medium-term perspective remains negative for GBP versus the Dollar. Next on tap is seen support level at 1.5485 (S1), break here is required to enable our initial targets at 1.5462 (S2) and 1.5438 (S3)

Resistance Levels: 1.5363, 1.5388, 1.5413

Support Levels: 1.5301, 1.5276, 1.5251

USDJPY HIGH 97.888 LOW 96.861 BID 97.833 ASK 97.833 CHANGE 0.6% TIME 08:31:12

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Upward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bullish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

Upwards scenario: USDJPY remains stable below the 20 SMA. Possible price appreciation is limited to the resistance level at 98.08 (R1). Only clear break here would suggest next intraday targets at 98.36 (R2) and 98.63 (R3). Downwards scenario: Recent upside momentum likely exhausted and we expect some stabilization ahead. Next supportive bastion lies at 97.52 (S1). Prolonged movement below it might then expose our intraday targets at 97.25 (S2) and 96.98 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 98.08, 98.36, 98.63

Support Levels: 97.52, 97.25, 96.98

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