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MARKET UPDATE 20.07.2012

2012-07-20 05:08 GMT

The USD is weakened by lackluster jobs data as earnings soar.

Asian stocks are trading mixed early this morning with gains in China and Japan whereas the Kospi and Hang Seng indices show slight declines. The euro has also given up its overnight gains as it trades below the 1.23$ mark. Weaker jobs data from the US has increased pressure for the world’s largest economy. European shares soared to a four month high on Thursday as another string of estimate-beating corporate results surprised investors who had braced for a weak show. U.S. Stocks closed higher for a third-straight session in choppy trading Thursday, with the S&P 500 hitting its best level since May, but gains were limited following some disappointing economic reports that underscored ongoing weakness in the recovery.

On the economic front, German PPI is to be closely watched. These are expected to come in higher at -0.20%, versus the -0.30% previously. This could provide affect support to the euro in the European session. There are no major data releases from the U.S. Crude oil and gold continued to climb in yesterday's session with tensions in the mid east rising pressurizing prices

Read More

2012-07-20 06:00 GMT

Germany - Producer Price Index (Jun)

2012-07-20 08:30 GMT

UK - Public Sector Net Borrowing (Jun)

2012-07-20 n/a

EMU - European Council meeting

2012-07-20 12:30 GMT

CAD - Consumer Price Index (Jun)

2012-07-20 04:26 GMT

EUR/USD waiting for Eurogroup below 1.2300

2012-07-20 02:35 GMT

USD/JPY at session lows, bear trend intact

2012-07-20 02:32 GMT

EUR/JPY at session lows below 96.50

2012-07-20 01:45 GMT

EUR/USD set to end week unchanged

AUDUSD
1.04014 / 020
NZDUSD
0.80164 / 174
USDCHF
0.97997 / 006
USDCAD
1.00830 / 836
GBPJPY
123.392 / 401
EURCHF
1.20099 / 104
GOLD
1582.24 / .69
SILVER
27.18 / .22
EURUSD Connection timeout
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.2417

1.2370

1.2324

1.2231

1.2184

1.2138

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Down
trend

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Overbought

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

The pair has worked out the Flag figure and declined to 1.21813. Despite the attempt above 1.2316, there is nothing about the action to suggest that this is an important turn. It’s possible that a high is already in place at 1.2316 but any additional strength should be capped by 1.2333. The pair managed to move above the middle resistance. It retested the level and is now trying to recapture 1.23. This upward move is probably a correction and the downtrend will resume toward 1.20. Support lies at 1.2210 and 1.2160.

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GBPUSD 1.57021 / 1.57026
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.5856

1.5796

1.5756

1.5656

1.5596

1.5556

SUMMARY

TREND

Up
trend

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Overbought

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Signals are bullish as near term resistance at the 50 day MA 1.5629 has been broken, the pair is aiming to the MA 100 at 1.57071. The technical pattern is being reinforced by resistance created by the 1.5740 June 17th high. Further barriers above are likely to compound the sentiment, at the 1.5750 figure. MACD is additionally supportive of a short term retracement, showing a sharp bearish divergence in the hourly time frame. Supports are seen at the 21-DMA line at 1.5585 and then at the 10-DMA line at 1.5563. On the other hand, resistance levels are seen at 1.5722 and then at 1.5731 which is the 21-DMA upper Bollinger level.

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USDJPY Connection timeout
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

79.245

79.025

78.885

78.525

78.300

78.165

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Down
trend

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Oversold

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technicals remain bearish and the decline continues following breach of 200 day MA 79.07 but signals are moving to the overbought zone. The pair is completing a Head and Shoulders, the first aim was 79.070 which is has broken and the 2nd aim is at 78.345 to complete the move. It has breached temporary support from the lower channel line of the move down and it is possible it may rebound from here although there is not strong reversal pattern yet. A move above the 76.4% Fibonacci line at 79.02 would encourage an upward reaction.

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