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MARKET UPDATE 20.06.2012

2012-06-20 05:45 GMT

Markets eagerly await the FOMC statements later today

US markets rose yesterday and ended at five-week highs after upbeat housing data, as the Federal Reserve considered further moves to stimulate the economy. A recent batch of disappointing U.S. economic data such as industrial production, retail sales and jobless claims, has contributed to the optimism about further stimulus to be announced following the conclusion of its two-day monetary policy meeting on Wednesday, along with continued concerns about the impact of the ongoing financial crisis in Europe

That good old “risk on” feeling was back in markets, and for a day they traded in a fairly conventional rally pattern. Stocks were up in the US (0.98% on the S&P 500), the Euro rallied against the USD, with EURUSD trading above 1.27 at times during the day, and WTI appreciated by close to a dollar. Today, everything seems to be on hold waiting for the FOMC statements this afternoon. Traders will begin to position themselves prior to the same, but markets seem to have an eerie calm as the day begins.

Read More

2012-06-20 08:30

UK - Bank of England Minutes

2012-06-20 16:30

US - Fed Interest Rate Decision

2012-06-20 18:00

US - FOMC Economic Projections

2012-06-20 18:15

US - Fed's Monetary Policy Statement and press conference

2012-06-20 04:32 GMT

Japan Apr All Industry Activity Index (MoM) 0.1%

2012-06-20 04:23 GMT

GBP/USD consolidates around 1.5720; BoE Minutes eyed

2012-06-20 04:23 GMT

EUR/USD awaits Greek government coalition below 1.2700

2012-06-20 03:47 GMT

GBP/AUD sits below 1.5450 after overnight dip to 2-mth lows

AUDUSD
1.01880 / 885
NZDUSD
0.79566 / 579
USDCHF
0.94725 / 735
USDCAD
1.01855 / 863
GBPJPY
124.088 / 101
EURCHF
1.20098 / 105
GOLD
1621.09 / .37
SILVER
28.48 / .51
EURUSD 1.26783 / 1.26786
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.2820

1.2784

1.2744

1.2668

1.2632

1.2592

SUMMARY

TREND

Up
trend

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Overbought

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical are very mixed - RSI (sub-50) remains the lone technical holdout, limiting upside. The overall outlook remains bearish, from here we still see room for short-term upside before a fresh lower top is sought out. Supports are seen at the 10-DMA line at 1.2568 and then at 1.2552. Whereas resistance levels are seen at 1.2748 and then at the 55-DMA line at 1.2854.

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GBPUSD 1.57290 / 1.57297
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.5785

1.5764

1.5732

1.5679

1.5658

1.5626

SUMMARY

TREND

Up
trend

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Overbought

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical's continue to read mixed - resistance near 1.5700 continues to be seen as the GBP is sitting right on the 1.57price line. risks seem tilted to the upside to allow for a necessary short-term corrective bounce after setbacks stalled, look for additional upside towards the 1.5800-1.6000. Supports are seen at the 10-DMA line at 1.5563 and then at the 21-DMA line 1.5559. Whereas resistance levels are seen at the 21-DMA upper Bollinger level at 1.5790 and then at 1.5802.

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USDJPY 78.893 / 78.898
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

79.760

79.533

79.365

78.970

78.750

78.575

SUMMARY

Neutral

TREND

Sideway

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical's are bearish - decline nearing 200 day MA (78.76); support expected at 78.61. After attempts at recovery the market should continue to break higher, set on a retest and break of the 2012 highs by 84.20 further up. However, at this point, we will need to see a break and close back above 80.00. Supports are seen at 78.61/10 and then at 77.99. Whereas, resistance levels are seen at 79.31/51 and then at 79.75.

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