FXCC
FXCC FXCC FXCC
FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC
MARKET UPDATE 19.12.2012

2012-12-18 23:04 GMT

Standard & Poor's upgrades Greece from selective default to B- outlook stable

Two weeks later after credit agency Standar & Poor's downgraded Greece to selective default, it has lifted again the rating to -B, two notches higher than expected back in December 05 when the initial downgrade took place, on the promise when the payback debt was finished the upgrade would come.

From today's S&P statement: “The stable outlook balances our view of euro zone member states determination to support Greece’s euro zone membership and the Greek government’s commitment to a fiscal and structural adjustment against the economic and political challenges of doing so,” the agency said. “Even after the buyback, Greece’s end-2012 net debt-to-GDP ratio of over 160 percent of GDP remains onerous,” the credit rating company stated. “Nevertheless, subject to Greece meeting program conditions, euro zone member states have said they would significantly improve official lending terms to the government.”- FXstreet.com

2012-12-19 09:00 GMT

E.M.U. IFO - Business Climate (Dec)

2012-12-19 09:30 GMT

United Kingdom. Bank of England Minutes

2012-12-19 13:30 GMT

United States. Building Permits (MoM) (Nov)

2012-12-19 21:45 GMT

Australia. Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) (Q3)

2012-12-19 05:17 GMT

GBP/USD quiet below 1.6270, awaiting BoE Minutes

2012-12-19 04:31 GMT

EUR/AUD holds bullish scope to 1.2900 - Westpac

2012-12-19 03:35 GMT

EUR/USD set to target 50% Fibo - RBS

2012-12-19 02:01 GMT

NZD/USD breaking below 0.84 round

AUDUSD
1.05150 / 159
NZDUSD
0.83912 / 928
USDCHF
0.91180 / 192
USDCAD
0.98611 / 622
GBPJPY
137.093 / 110
EURCHF
1.20792 / 810
GOLD
1674.70 / .98
SILVER
31.70 / .72
EURUSD HIGH 1.32558 LOW 1.32227 BID 1.32469 ASK 1.32475 CHANGE 0.14% TIME 08:21:58

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Up
trend

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Instrument gained momentum, turning intraday bias to the positive side. Next resistance ahead is seen at 1.3258 (R1). Upwards penetration above it might drive market price towards to targets at 1.3277 (R2) and 1.3293 (R3). Downwards scenario: If the market successfully retests our support level at 1.3224 (S1), we expect further consolidation development with possible targets at 1.3207 (S2) and 1.3191 (S3). Market deviates from the uptrend formation and currently trades on the session low.

Resistance Levels: 1.3258, 1.3277, 1.3293

Support Levels: 1.3224, 1.3207, 1.3191

GBPUSD HIGH 1.62666 LOW 1.62456 BID 1.62647 ASK 1.62657 CHANGE 0.08% TIME 08:21:59

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Up
trend

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

Upwards scenario: We expect resuming of the uptrend formation if the price manages to overcome next resistance level at 1.6270 (R1). Immediate focus comes on 1.6283 (R2) and 1.6296 (R3) in such scenario. Downwards scenario: If the market participants manage to push the price below the support level at 1.6244 (S1) the instrument has an increased likelihood of failing towards to next targets at 1.6231 (S2) and 1.6218 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.6270, 1.6283, 1.6296

Support Levels: 1.6244, 1.6231, 1.6218

USDJPY HIGH 84.43 LOW 84.164 BID 84.344 ASK 84.349 CHANGE 0.16% TIME 08:22:00

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Upward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bullish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

Upwards scenario: Upside risk aversion is seen above the resistance at 84.44 (R1). Any violation of that level would be considered as signal of possible uptrend formation towards to our targets at 84.55 (R2) and 84.66 (R3). Downwards scenario: Next immediate support locates at 84.21 (S1). Break here is required to enable bearish pressure towards to our targets at 84.10 (S2) and 83.98 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 84.44, 84.55, 84.66

Support Levels: 84.21, 84.10, 83.98

MARKETING COMMUNICATION DISCLAIMER: The content of this material is a marketing communication, and not independent investment research. As such, the legal and regulatory requirements in relation to independent investment research do not apply to this material and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of its dissemination.

The material is for general information purposes only (whether or not it states any opinions). It does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) legal, financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by FX Central Clearing Ltd. (“FXCC”) or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

Although the information set out in this marketing communication is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, FXCC makes no guarantee as to its accuracy or completeness. All information is indicative and subject to change without notice and may be out of date at any given time. Neither FXCC, nor the author of this material shall be responsible for any loss that you may incur, either directly or indirectly, arising from any investment based on any information contained herein.

This material may include charts displaying financial instruments' past performance as well as estimates and forecasts. Any information relating to past performance of an investment does not necessarily guarantee future performance.

Unless otherwise stated, the prices used in the examples are FXCC’s own prices, and not those of third parties.

RISK WARNING: Trading in Forex and Contracts for Difference (CFDs) is highly speculative and involves substantial risk of loss. It is possible to lose all your capital. Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors. Only invest with money you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved before investing. Seek independent advice if necessary.