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MARKET UPDATE 19.11.2012

2012-11-18 23:05 GMT

ECB's Asmussen calls for a 2-year funding extension on Greece

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Joerg Asmussen, member of the European Central Bank, told German broadcaster ZDF over the weekend, EU leaders should agree on a 2-year loan extension for Greece, with any additional funding plan to be decided at a later stage, confirming the broadly-held view within the EU of 'kicking the can down the road', a position not marrying too well with IMF Director Christine Lagarde, who has been repeatedly calling for a long-standing comprehensible plan.

For today, EUR related economic agenda for the London session ahead looks soft, with only Italian industrial production at 09:00 GMT. However, several conferences in the EU will take place in parallel, ahead of tomorrow's key Eurogroup meetings. The special attention will be headlines from EU Commissioner Barnier and Spain EcoMin De Guindos, speaking at the EU conference on financial stability and the single market at 08:30 GMT. Also Deutsche Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann speech in Frankfurt at the same time will attract market's attention. In the EZ sovereign debt auctions front, France will deliver Treasury bills at 12:45 GMT, with 10 year bond yields stable around the 2% figure, last at 2.08%.

N/A

Japan. BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

2012-11-19 10:00 GMT

European Monetary Union. Construction Output

2012-11-19 15:00 GMT

United States. Existing Home Sales Change

2012-11-19 23:00 GMT

Australia. Conference Board Australia Leading Index

2012-11-19 06:08 GMT

EUR/USD advance above 1.28 should command respect

2012-11-19 06:02 GMT

GBP/USD rises above 1.59 on positive tone

2012-11-19 04:43 GMT

AUD/EUR seen at +0.84 in early 2013 - Westpac

2012-11-19 04:07 GMT

EUR/AUD looking for bids around 1.23 mark

AUDUSD
1.03636 / 643
NZDUSD
0.81338 / 341
USDCHF
0.94473 / 487
USDCAD
1.00042 / 052
GBPJPY
129.301 / 310
EURCHF
1.20534 / 548
GOLD
1721.52 / .80
SILVER
32.58 / .60
EURUSD HIGH 1.27734 LOW 1.27401 BID 1.27582 ASK 1.27588 CHANGE 0.13% TIME 07:59:51

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Upward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Low

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Instrument show up 0.13% rise today and any further appreciation needs to clear barrier at 1.2774 (R1). Intraday targets could be found at 1.2786 (R2) and then at 1.2798 (R3). Downwards scenario: Below the 10 SMA locates our next support level at 1.2751 (S1). Break here might open a route towards to next targets at 1.2739 (S2) and 1.2727 (S3) in perspective.

Resistance Levels: 1.2774, 1.2786, 1.2798

Support Levels: 1.2751, 1.2739, 1.2727

GBPUSD HIGH 1.59233 LOW 1.58806 BID 1.59109 ASK 1.59116 CHANGE 0.17% TIME 07:59:52

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Up
trend

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Low

Upwards scenario: market sentiment is clearly bullish today. Fresh high formed today acts now as next resistance level at 1.5924 (R1). Above here open way towards to next targets at 1.5936 (R2) and then at 1.5947 (R3). Downwards scenario: Risk of depreciation is seen below the local high, formed on the 14-11-2012 at 1.5902 (S1). Break here is required to enable lower targets at 1.5890 (S2) and 1.5877 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.5924, 1.5936, 1.5947

Support Levels: 1.5902, 1.5890, 1.5877

USDJPY HIGH 81.587 LOW 81.125 BID 81.243 ASK 81.247 CHANGE -0.09% TIME 07:59:53

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Up
trend

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

High

Upwards scenario: Medium term bias is positive for USDJPY. Risk of market appreciation is seen above the next resistance level at 81.41 (R1). Loss here would suggest next target at 81.62 (R2) and any further rise would then be targeting 81.82 (R3). Downwards scenario: If the pair gains momentum on the downside and manage to break our next support level at 81.10 (S1), it is likely to get acceleration towards to our next support level at 80.90 (S2) and 80.68 (S3), exactly where the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level lies.

Resistance Levels: 81.41, 81.62, 81.82

Support Levels: 81.10, 80.90, 80.68

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