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MARKET UPDATE 17.10.2012

2012-10-16 21:26 GMT

Moody’s confirms Spain’s government bond rating at Baa3, negative outlook

Moody’s issued the following statement in downgrading Spain’s sovereign credit rating outlook to negative: Moody’s Investors Service yesterday confirmed the Kingdom of Spain’s Baa3 government bond rating and assigned a negative outlook to the rating. In addition, Moody’s has confirmed Spain’s short-term rating at (P)Prime-3. Rating action concludes the review for possible further downgrade of Spain’s rating that Moody’s had initiated on 13 June 2012.

In summary, Moody’s believes that the combination of euro area and ECB support and the Spanish government’s own efforts should allow the government to maintain capital market access at reasonable rates, providing it with the time it needs to stabilise public debt over the next few years. In Moody’s view, the maintenance of market access is critical because the risk that some form of burden-sharing will be imposed on bondholders is material for those countries that rely entirely or to a very large extent on official-sector funding for an extended period of time.

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2012-10-16 08:30 GMT

United Kingdom. Bank of England Minutes

2012-10-16 09:00 GMT

Switzerland. ZEW Survey - Expectations

2012-10-16 09:15 GMT

United Kingdom. BOE Deputy Governor Paul Tucker speech

2012-10-16 12:30 GMT

United States. Housing Starts

2012-10-17 02:55 GMT

GBP/USD at key 61.8 fibo; awaits BoE minutes

2012-10-17 01:26 GMT

USD/JPY ranges ahead of 79.00 sellers

2012-10-17 00:26 GMT

AUD/USD follows Euro tail; 1.0330/35 next hurdle

2012-10-16 21:32 GMT

EUR/USD tests 1.3100 on Moddy's Spanish rating

AUDUSD
1.03135 / 143
NZDUSD
0.81776 / 785
USDCHF
0.92391 / 395
USDCAD
0.98618 / 626
GBPJPY
126.805 / 813
EURCHF
1.20990 / 997
GOLD
1752.47 / .75
SILVER
33.12 / .15
EURUSD 1.30944 / 1.30947
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.3199

1.3160

1.3125

1.3064

1.3027

1.2992

SUMMARY

Up

TREND

Up
trend

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Overbought

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical Summary: Moody’s confirms Spain’s government bond rating at Baa3 with the negative outlook yesterday and that drives market price towards to new levels. Market sentiment is clearly bullish. Main scenario: In terms of technical levels next resistance level could be found at 1.3125 (R1). Appreciation above it might enable next targets at 1.3160 (R2) and 1.3199 (R3) in potential. Alternative scenario: Our next support level holds at 1.3064 (S1). Price penetration below it might open way towards to next targets at 1.3027 (S2) and 1.2992 (S3).

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GBPUSD 1.61262 / 1.61266
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.6192

1.6163

1.6135

1.6101

1.6074

1.6045

SUMMARY

Up

TREND

Upward
penetration

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical Summary: Market is waiting for Bank of England Minutes at 08:30 GMT. Technically, further market rise is more likely scenario for today while both moving averages are pointing up. Main scenario: If the price manages to progress above the next resistance at 1.6133 (R1) we suggest next targets at 1.6154 (R2) and 1.6177 (R3) in potential. Alternative scenario: Next support level locates 1.6107 (S1) today, possible pushdown of the price below it would suggest next targets at 1.6085 (S2) and 1.6062 (S3).

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USDJPY 78.632 / 78.636
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

79.03

78.91

78.78

78.61

78.50

78.38

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Downward
penetration

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Oversold

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical Summary: USDJPY still trades under the bullish pressure on the medium term perspective. Though, possibility of further market decline is high today as a part of correction development. Main scenario: We expect to see retest of our support at 78.61 (S1) today. Easing below it would suggest next targets at 78.50 (S2) and 78.38 (S3) in potential. Alternative scenario: Our next resistance level is placed at 78.78 (R1). Break above it might open initial targets at 78.91 (R2) and 79.03 (R3) in potential.

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