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MARKET UPDATE 17.07.2012

2012-07-17 5:33 GMT

Fed Chairman Bernanke begins his testimony before congress today.

Asian markets started off mixed today, after Wall Street tumbled over an unexpected fall in retail sales in June.The Nikkei opened 0.19 %, or 16.86 points, higher at 8,740.98 this morning, but soon dropped into negative territory. In Hong Kong, shares climbed 1.39 %. The Hang Seng Index added 266.29 points to 19,387.63. Investors will continue to be cautious before a slew of US high risk eco data, including June industrial output as well as Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's two-day testimony in Congress due today.

Markets stressed over global growth worries after the International Monetary Fund on Monday trimmed its 2012 global growth forecast to 3.5 % from its 3.6 % forecast three months ago. US retail sales fell by 0.5 % last month, the Commerce Department reported. Most analysts estimated an increase 0.2 %. The Dow Jones fell 49.88 points (0.39 %), closing at 12,727.21. The US dollar spent the day on a rollercoaster; bring its trading partners up and down throughout the trading day, the euro dipped as low as 1.2167

Read More

2012-07-17 08:30 GMT

UK - Consumer Price Index (Jun)

2012-07-17 09:00 GMT

UK - BoE's Governor King Speech

2012-07-17 09:00 GMT

EMU - ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment (Jul)

2012-07-17 09:15 GMT

All - G7 Meeting

2012-07-17 04:24 GMT

GBP/USD trades at 2-wk highs, UK data ahead

2012-07-17 04:19 GMT

EUR/USD around 1.2300 ahead of ZEW

2012-07-17 03:50 GMT

Forecast UK CPI inflation to fall to 2.7% in June - RBS

2012-07-17 03:27 GMT

EURJPY continues at risk; three month target at 94 - UBS

AUDUSD
1.02934 / 937
NZDUSD
0.79908 / 917
USDCHF
0.97772 / 782
USDCAD
1.01415 / 422
GBPJPY
123.547 / 562
EURCHF
1.20115 / 121
GOLD
1593.22 / .50
SILVER
27.39 / .41
EURUSD 1.22843 / 1.22845
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.2426

1.2358

1.2312

1.2244

1.2198

1.2130

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Down
trend

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Oversold

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Long term technicals remain bearish, with all signals in sell territory. Prices rose to take out resistance at 1.2249 after breaking above key support at 1.2177, a level dating to 2010. The bulls now aim to challenge upside barriers at 1.2333 and 1.2433. Near term signals are all reading bullish. The 1.2249 level has been recast as near-term support. Back to our daily charts, RSI remains below 60 after tagging 30, showing maintenance of a bearish momentum. And we can see a negative reversal signal with the RSI where price high was lower, while the RSI high was higher. Supports are seen at 1.2162 and then at 1.2100 whereas resistance levels are seen at 1.2314 and then at 1.2330, which is the 10-DMA line.

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GBPUSD 1.56544 / 1.56554
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.5816

1.5735

1.5680

1.5599

1.5544

1.5463

SUMMARY

TREND

Up
trend

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Overbought

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technicals all support a bullish move today between the 9 & 21 day MA’s 1.5622 and 1.5689, respectively, The late strong rally has negated the bearish signals, however bias remains to the downside given the bearish bias of indicators. As for the key levels - there aren't any significant key levels now. The immediate intra-day bias is now on the upside above 1.5550. Break below 1.5500 may bring re-test on the last week's low near 1.5390. Supports are seen at 1.5518 and then at 1.5427 whereas resistance levels are seen at 1.5713 and then at 1.5734.

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USDJPY 78.922 / 78.928
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

79.645

79.425

79.140

78.620

78.400

78.105

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Down
trend

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Oversold

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technicals remain bearish and the pair has breached of 200 day MA at 79.04 which should allow for further decline. As the pair broke the 79.00 level nothing significant has happened. The move down remains extremely choppy and the decline is so slow, that this can hardly be said to be a downtrend. A move above 79.10 will simply turn the hourly chart neutral. Supports are seen at 78.65/61 and then at 78.10 whereas resistance levels are seen at the 200-DMA line at 79.02 and then at 79.40.

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