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MARKET UPDATE 17.04.2012

2012-04-17 07:00 GMT

Forex: EUR/USD holding above 1.3100 ahead of German ZEW

EUR/USD is currently bouncing at 1.3122 from session lows at 1.3106 following RBA minutes and worse than expected foreigners investment figures in China for the 5th consecutive month, following a -6% for the month of March. The pair retraces from yesterday's highs at 1.3148, and higher from yesterday's and 8-week lows at 1.2994. The London session ahead will be a busy one according to EUR macro data related being released, including German ZEW economic sentiment survey and EU CPI figures both at 09:00 GMT. Earlier at 08:30 GMT will take place the Spanish short term sovereign debt auction, according to Bloomberg, which will focus market's attention. Later at 12:30 GMT ECB's chairman Mario Draghi will give a speech at a conference in Frankfurt.

After operating in consolidation mode for over 6 days, the EUR/GBP pair finally broke lower overnight to fresh 2012 lows, touching 0.8208 before regaining the upside to close on Monday at 0.8263, ending 0.2% above past Friday’s close. USD/CAD is currently at 1.0003, marginally higher from yesterday's weekly open in Asia-Pacific, climbing from Friday's lows 0.9926, and retracing from yesterday's highs 1.0030. The pair is trading at the upper bound of a price range has been into since late January this year, reaching as low as 0.9842 by March 01 since then.

Read More

2012-04-17 08:00 GMT

United Kingdom Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Mar)

2012-04-17 09:00 GMT

EU - Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Mar)

2012-04-17 09:00 GMT

EU - Consumer Price Index - Core (YoY) (Mar)

2012-04-17 12:30 GMT

European Monetary Union ECB President Draghi's Speech

2012-04-17 05:00 GMT

Japan Mar Consumer Confidence Index increase to 40.3

2012-04-17 03:52 GMT

Forex: EUR/GBP trades down to 0.8250

2012-04-17 01:40 GMT

RBA Minutes: CPI Q1 to dictate case for easier policies

2012-04-17 01:32 GMT

Australia Mar New Motor Vehicle Sales increase to 4%

AUDUSD
1.03201 / 205
NZDUSD
0.81586 / 603
USDCHF
0.91688 / 696
USDCAD
1.00023 / 030
GBPJPY
127.644 / 660
EURCHF
1.20208 / 218
GOLD
1648.88 / .16
SILVER
31.41 / .44
EURUSD 1.31103 / 1.31106
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.3313

1.3257

1.3214

1.3147

1.3047

1.3000

1.2951

1.2913

SUMMARY

TREND

Up
trend

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

After the EURUSD formed a bottom at 1.3000 (S2) the pair rose and penetrated upwards all of our resistance levels forming a new high (intraday) at 1.3147 (R1). If it breaks above that level we can expect a target at 1.3214 (R2). On the other hand if a break occurs below the first support at 1.3047 (S1) expect the price to retest 1.3000 (S2) a strong technical and psychological level for the bulls.

GBPUSD 1.58729 / 1.58741
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.6088

1.6042

1.5984

1.5909

1.5858

1.5804

1.5764

1.5706

SUMMARY

TREND

Up
trend

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Neutral

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

GBPUSD made a sharp move upwards and broke above yesterday’s resistance level forming a new top at 1.5909 (R1). A break above that level would suggest a target at 5984 (R2) a strong technical and psychological level. On the other hand if the price manages to hold below 1.5909 we expect a retest of the first support level at 1.5858 (S1). A break below that level will suggest target at 1.5804 (S2).

USDJPY 80.417 / 80.422
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

82.43

81.82

81.20

80.73

80.29

79.57

79.13

78.67

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Down
trend

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

The USDJPY fell and broke below our Friday’s resistance level forming a new low at 80.29 (S1) and it seems that it will continue its downward movement. Both of our Moving Averages are bearish creating a strong resistance to the price. Look for short positions around 80.29 targeting 79.57 (S2). A stop loss should be placed at 80.73 (R1).

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