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MARKET UPDATE 15.11.2012

2012-11-14 15:22 GMT

EU's Rehn: Spain has taken effective action on budget deficits in 2012 and 2013

EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn made a statement on Spain on Wednesday, regarding the country's deficit moves. According to the European Commission's assessment the Spanish government has taken effective action for 2012, 2013 as far as restoring sustainability of public finances is concerned. Nevertheless, it would fail to meet the deficit target for 2014.

Mr Rehn declared that Spain currently does not need additional measures and that the progress of its budget consolidation will be evaluated once again by the EU in February, by which time it might be necessary to introduce further measures. He added that he does not see the need for Rajoy's government making a bailout request in the nearest future. The EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner also acknowledged that Spain is currently undergoing difficult rebalancing of the economy and that its government and people are making great efforts to assure sustainability of the country’s finances.

2012-11-15 09:00 GMT

Italy. Gross Domestic Product(Preliminar)

2012-11-15 09:30 GMT

United Kingdom. Retail Sales

2012-11-15 10:00 GMT

E.M.U. Gross Domestic Product (Preliminar)

2012-11-15 13:30 GMT

United States. Consumer Price Index Ex Food & Energy

2012-11-15 04:15 GMT

AUD/USD stalls the dive helped by 1.0350 bids

2012-11-15 04:03 GMT

Short AUD/CAD; target the 1.01 area - Westpac

2012-11-15 03:36 GMT

GBP/AUD offered below 50% Fibo

2012-11-15 00:51 GMT

EUR/USD: Hourly pin forms off 200 EMA; bears encouraged

AUDUSD
1.03586 / 594
NZDUSD
0.81171 / 177
USDCHF
0.94411 / 418
USDCAD
1.00235 / 243
GBPJPY
128.187 / 194
EURCHF
1.20355 / 362
GOLD
1725.44 / .72
SILVER
32.65 / .68
EURUSD HIGH 1.2753 LOW 1.27174 BID 1.27473 ASK 1.27476 CHANGE 0.09% TIME 08:03:46

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Upward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

High

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Current market installation might suggest us about the uptrend formation on the hourly timeframe. Break of 1.2758 (R1) is required for attack to the next target at 1.2772 (R2). Final resistance could be found at 1.2787 (R3) today. Downwards scenario: Risk of further market depreciation is seen below the next support level at 1.2730 (S1). Loss here would suggest intraday targets at 1.2715 (S2) and 1.2700 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.2758, 1.2772, 1.2787

Support Levels: 1.2730, 1.2715, 1.2700

GBPUSD HIGH 1.58552 LOW 1.58361 BID 1.58519 ASK 1.58523 CHANGE 0.07% TIME 08:03:47

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Down

TREND CONDITION

Downward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bullish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

High

Upwards scenario: Our next resistance level locates at 1.5859 (R1). If market gains momentum and manage to overcome it, we expect further deviation from the initial downtrend towards to next targets at 1.5877 (R2) and 1.5894 (R3). Downwards scenario: Risk of market weakening is seen below the fresh low at 1.5834 (S1). Loss here would enable bearish forces and might expose our targets at 1.5815 (S2) and 1.5796 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.5859, 1.5877, 1.5894

Support Levels: 1.5834, 1.5815, 1.5796

USDJPY HIGH 80.943 LOW 80.125 BID 80.931 ASK 80.933 CHANGE 0.85% TIME 08:03:48

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Up
trend

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

High

Upwards scenario: USDJPY appreciated by 0.85% today and determined clear bullish market sentiment. Our key resistance level locates at fresh high – 80.96 (R1), clearance here would suggest higher targets at 81.10 (R2) and 81.25 (R3) intraday. Downwards scenario: Risk of correction is seen below the next support level at 80.61 (S1), break here is required to enable lower targets at 80.47 (S2) and 80.32 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 80.96, 81.10, 81.25

Support Levels: 80.61, 80.47, 80.32

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