FXCC
FXCC FXCC FXCC
FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC
MARKET UPDATE 15.07.2013

2013-07-15 01:17 GMT

Fitch downgrades France to AA+ from AAA

Fitch Ratings has downgraded France to AA+ from AAA on Friday, keeping a stable outlook on the country's debt. Fitch, which joins S&P and Moody's in removing the country's AAA rating, cited the high level of the French government indebtedness as one of the main reasons of the downgrade. Fitch expects France's general government debt to peak at 96% of GDP in 2014 and decline only gradually over the long term, remaining at 92% in 2017. "The only 'AAA' country with a higher debt ratio is the U.S. (AAA/negative), which has exceptional financing flexibility and debt tolerance afforded by the preeminent global reserve currency status of the U.S. dollar," Fitch said in a statement.

Standard & Poor's has affirmed on Friday Germany's top triple-A sovereign credit rating, with a stable outlook. The rating agency justified its decision saying that “Germany has a highly diversified and competitive economy with a demonstrated ability to absorb large economic and financial shocks.” As far as the outlook on the long-term rating is concerned, S&P's decision to keep it 'stable' reflects their view that: “Germany's public finances and strong external balance sheet will continue to withstand potential financial and economic shocks.”-FXstreet.com

2013-07-15 07:15 GMT

Switzerland. Producer and Import Prices (YoY)

2013-07-15 12:00 GMT

USA. Fed's Tarullo speech

2013-07-15 12:30 GMT

USA. Retail Sales (MoM)

2013-07-15 22:45 GMT

New Zeland. Consumer Price Index (YoY)

2013-07-15 04:56 GMT

GBP/USD treading water above 1.5100

2013-07-15 03:49 GMT

AUD/USD exposed to 0.80/0.85 fall - RBS

2013-07-15 03:35 GMT

EUR/USD, 1.2930-80 key to technical outlook - BBH

2013-07-15 02:39 GMT

USD/JPY flat above 99.00 with Tokyo closed

AUDUSD
0.91070 / 074
NZDUSD
0.78156 / 167
USDCHF
0.94638 / 643
USDCAD
1.03851 / 862
GBPJPY
149.999 / 017
EURCHF
1.23708 / 718
GOLD
1289.46 / .73
SILVER
20.00 / .02
EURUSD HIGH 1.3079 LOW 1.30513 BID 1.30773 ASK 1.30773 CHANGE 0.08% TIME 08:00:33

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Sideway

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Low

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: With limited economic data flow today we expect further neutral tone development. However, price strengthening is possible above the next resistance level at 1.3092 (R1). Our interim target holds at 1.3124 (R2) en route to our final aim for today at 1.3157 (R3). Downwards scenario: Current price pattern suggests bearish potential if the pair manages to overcome next support level at 1.3044 (S1). Possible price regress could expose our initial targets at 1.3008 (S2) and 1.2974 (S3) later on today.

Resistance Levels: 1.3092, 1.3124, 1.3157

Support Levels: 1.3044, 1.3008, 1.2974

GBPUSD HIGH 1.51287 LOW 1.5098 BID 1.51257 ASK 1.51268 CHANGE 0.13% TIME 08:00:33

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Upward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bullish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Low

Upwards scenario: GBPUSD is approaching our next resistive barrier at 1.5141 (R1). Break here is required to prolong upside pressure and trigger our intraday targets at 1.5173(R2) and 1.5203 (R3) later on today. Downwards scenario: As long as price stays below the next resistance level our technical outlook would be negative. Next on tap is support level at 1.5088 (S1). Penetration below this mark would suggest next targets at 1.5059 (S2) and 1.5028 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.5141, 1.5173, 1.5203

Support Levels: 1.5088, 1.5059, 1.5028

USDJPY HIGH 99.383 LOW 99.074 BID 99.271 ASK 99.272 CHANGE 0.06% TIME 08:00:34

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Neutral

TREND CONDITION

Sideway

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Low

Upwards scenario: On the upside potential is seen for a break above the resistance at 99.46 (R1). In such case we would suggest next target at 99.68 (R2) and any further rise would then be limited to final resistance at 99.90 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, loss of our support level at 99.03 (S1) would open road for a market decline towards to our next target at 98.83 (S2). Any further price weakening would then be limited to final support for today at 98.61 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 99.46, 99.68, 99.90

Support Levels: 99.03, 98.83, 98.61

MARKETING COMMUNICATION DISCLAIMER: The content of this material is a marketing communication, and not independent investment research. As such, the legal and regulatory requirements in relation to independent investment research do not apply to this material and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of its dissemination.

The material is for general information purposes only (whether or not it states any opinions). It does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) legal, financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by FX Central Clearing Ltd. (“FXCC”) or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

Although the information set out in this marketing communication is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, FXCC makes no guarantee as to its accuracy or completeness. All information is indicative and subject to change without notice and may be out of date at any given time. Neither FXCC, nor the author of this material shall be responsible for any loss that you may incur, either directly or indirectly, arising from any investment based on any information contained herein.

This material may include charts displaying financial instruments' past performance as well as estimates and forecasts. Any information relating to past performance of an investment does not necessarily guarantee future performance.

Unless otherwise stated, the prices used in the examples are FXCC’s own prices, and not those of third parties.

RISK WARNING: Trading in Forex and Contracts for Difference (CFDs) is highly speculative and involves substantial risk of loss. It is possible to lose all your capital. Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors. Only invest with money you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved before investing. Seek independent advice if necessary.