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MARKET UPDATE 12.10.2012

2012-10-12 03:34 GMT

MAS surprises but still room to loosen policy - Capital Economics

The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) left its policy stance unchanged today and it will continue to allow the NEER to trade within a target band of “modest and gradual appreciation”. The slope, mid-point and width of the target band will stay the same. The decision came despite stood at -1.5% q/q on an annualized basis in Q3.

A relatively quiet London session lies ahead, with no EZ sovereign debt auctions as usual on Fridays, and only minor EUR data related coming out, starting with French current account at 06:45 GMT, followed by the Netherlands trade balance at 07:30 GMT, Italy CPI at 08:00 GMT, and EU industrial production 1 hour later. The IMF-WB meetings will keep going throughout Sunday, with BoJ governor Shirakawa to speak at 12:20 GMT. Special attention might come from Spain, as the nation government holds its regularly weekly meeting, and markets expectations are growing on the country asking for the bailout after S&P downgraded Spain's credit ranking to one notch away from junk status.

Read More

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All. IMF Meeting

2012-10-12 09:00 GMT

European Monetary Union. Industrial Production

2012-10-12 12:30 GMT

United States. Producer Price Index

2012-10-12 13:55 GMT

United States. Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index

2012-10-12 04:42 GMT

GBP/USD pressured ahead of Europe

2012-10-12 04:33 GMT

EUR/USD clings to range game; time to salute 1.30 again?

2012-10-12 02:34 GMT

AUD/JPY threatening offers near 80.80

2012-10-11 23:34 GMT

USD/JPY gently bid; further advances ahead?

AUDUSD
1.02712 / 719
NZDUSD
0.81933 / 945
USDCHF
0.93516 / 524
USDCAD
0.97850 / 858
GBPJPY
125.572 / 578
EURCHF
1.20910 / 919
GOLD
1768.27 / .55
SILVER
34.01 / .03
EURUSD 1.29291 / 1.29294
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.3009

1.2980

1.2951

1.2914

1.2885

1.2854

SUMMARY

Up

TREND

Upward
penetration

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical Summary: Medium term bias remains positive and today we expect further appreciation as main scenario. Main scenario: Strengthening above the resistance at 1.2951 (R1) might open way towards to next targets at 1.2980 (R2) and 1.3009 (R3). Alternative scenario: Next support can be found at 1.2914 (S1), clearance here would enable lower targets at 1.2885 (S2) and 1.2854 (S3).

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GBPUSD 1.60289 / 1.60296
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.6109

1.6082

1.6057

1.6020

1.5993

1.5966

SUMMARY

Up

TREND

Upward
penetration

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical Summary: GBPUSD deviate from last week losses and current consolidation might extend its power above the suggested resistance levels today. Main scenario: Rise above the resistance at 1.6057 (R1) would suggest next target at 1.6082 (R2) and then final resistance can be found at 1.6109 (R3). Alternative scenario: Next support level holds at 1.6020 (S1), break here would suggest next target at 1.5993 (S2) and any further fall would then be limited to 1.5966 (S3).

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USDJPY 78.341 / 78.343
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

78.79

78.67

78.54

78.27

78.13

77.99

SUMMARY

Up

TREND

Upward
penetration

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical Summary: Fresh high provided today is our key point for further instrument appreciation however penetration below the suggested support level might enable bearish force on the short term perspective. Main scenario: Next resistance is placed at 78.54 (R1), break here might expose next target at 78.67 (R2) and any further rise would then be targeting 78.79 (R3). Alternative scenario: Our now bullish short term outlook will remain in place while USDJPY trades above the support at 78.27 (S1). A downside move below it might expose our next targets at 78.13 (S2) and 77.99 (S3) in potential.

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