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MARKET UPDATE 12.07.2012

2012-07-12 05:11 GMT

Not much in the FOMC Minutes … BoJ decision today

Markets sold off following the release of the minutes from the FOMC’s June 19-20 meeting (i.e. the meeting at which the Fed extended and increased its maturity extension program or ‘Operation Twist’). The S&P 500 closed flat at 1340, the NASDAQ was lower by 0.5%, and the TSX closed marginally higher. Government bonds were essentially flat and while EURUSD briefly traded below 1.22 it closed trading near 1.2243, close to where it started today’s European trading session.

Crude rebounded strongly today: Brent closed above USD 100 per barrel and WTI closed above USD 86 after data released by the Energy Information Administration showed that US crude stockpiles were drawn down by 4.7m barrels during the week ended July 6 (vs. expectations for a draw in the 1.5m barrels neighborhood).

Read More

2012-07-12 08:00 GMT

EMU - ECB Monthly Report

2012-07-12 09:00 GMT

EMU - Industrial Production (May)

2012-07-12 12:30 GMT

US - Initial Jobless Claims (Jun)

2012-07-12 12:30 GMT

CAD - New Housing Price Index (May)

2012-07-12 04:33 GMT

GBP/USD consolidates around 1.5500

2012-07-12 04:29 GMT

EUR/USD quiet below 1.2250 amid a busy Asian session

2012-07-12 04:10 GMT

USD/JPY spikes after Y45t APP increase

2012-07-12 03:58 GMT

BoJ increases asset purchases 45 trillion yen

AUDUSD
1.01682 / 687
NZDUSD
0.79175 / 189
USDCHF
0.98185 / 195
USDCAD
1.02077 / 085
GBPJPY
123.118 / 132
EURCHF
1.20091 / 097
GOLD
1569.39 / .67
SILVER
26.91 / .94
EURUSD 1.22300 / 1.22304
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.2372

1.2334

1.2289

1.2206

1.2168

1.2123

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Down
trend

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Oversold

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technicals remain bearish - expecting to test further lows as indicators are not yet bearish enough but continuing to consolidating below the key 1.2330 resistance, which should limit intraday upside attempts. Expect a break of the support here then a move initially to the support at 1.2216. A break of that targets the .50% Fibo at 1.2176 and then at 1.2135. Supports are seen at 1.2230, 1.2190 and then at 1.2132 where as resistance levels are seen at 1.2334 and then at 1.2401. Stochastic has just moved to oversold, giving a hint of what we might expect today, although MACD and RSI are centered in sell territory

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GBPUSD 1.54891 / 1.54900
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.5654

1.5616

1.5563

1.5472

1.5434

1.5381

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Down
trend

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Oversold

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technicals continue to be mixed moving quickly towards bearish with congestion seen at current levels and resistance expected at 1.5600. The pair surpassed the 1.5550 resistance, but could not sustain. Our outlook remains bearish. Supports are seen at 1.5461 and then at 1.5445 whereas, resistance levels are seen at the 10-DMA line at 1.5582 and then at the 21-DMA line at 1.5601.

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USDJPY 79.488 / 79.491
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

80.540

80.165

79.885

79.235

78.860

78.580

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Down
trend

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Oversold

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technicals are bearish with a continued decline expected in the near term, given a breach of 50 day MA 79.52. The pair is gradually pushing to the downside, approaching the awaited support level at 79.10. In general the longer term overall bullish setup remains intact, and therefore the long term outlook remains bullish. Supports are seen at 79.08, 78.94 and then at 78.79 whereas, resistance levels are seen at 79.78 and then at 80.02.

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