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2012-12-11 07:10 GMT
Silvio Berlusconi Makes Trouble For EURUSD Bulls
Although the single currency is higher on the day, it’s abundantly clear that the recent resignation by Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti is keeping Euro bulls at bay. The prime minister is now scheduled to step down following the 2013 budget vote taking place before the end of the year – instead of serving till April of next year. The announcement changes the political landscape of the largest of the troubled peripheral nations, and will likely add to recent pessimism when it comes to the single currency.
However, with public discontent over recent austerity and tax increases rising, many of Monti’s previous allies have fallen away. In particular, former Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi and his People of Freedom (PDL) party, have become disenchanted with the current administration. The sentiment was heightened last week when representatives of the PDL walked out of an economic reform vote – calling for a vote of no-confidence in the prime minister. The notion was unfortunately backed by several other members of the Democratic Party – Monti’s major backer in the political arena.
With Monti’s final resignation to come in the next few weeks, it will be up to Italian President Giorgio Napolitano to dissolve parliament, and either appoint a successor or keep Monti as the country’s PM. General elections will follow, placing the date somewhere in February 2013 at the earliest. - FXstreet.com
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2012-12-11 10:00 GMT
Germany.ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment (Nov)
2012-12-11 13:30 GMT
USA.Trade Balance (Oct)
2012-12-11 23:30 GMT
Australia.Westpac Consumer Confidence (Dec)
2012-12-11 23:50 GMT
Japan.Machinery Orders (YoY) (Oct)
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2012-12-11 04:59 GMT
AUD/USD strengthens on China data
2012-12-11 04:42 GMT
EUR/USD breaking to fresh session highs on better than expected China data
2012-12-11 03:55 GMT
GBP/JPY bears defending 132.50
2012-12-11 01:20 GMT
EUR/AUD on fresh session highs following bad Aussie confidence data
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EURUSD
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HIGH
1.29622
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LOW
1.29287
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BID
1.29597
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ASK
1.29601
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CHANGE
0.15%
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TIME
08:05:06
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OUTLOOK SUMMARY
Up
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TREND CONDITION
Downward penetration
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TRADERS SENTIMENT
Bearish
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IMPLIED VOLATILITY
Low
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MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
We expect resuming of the uptrend formation if the price manages to overcome next resistance level at 1.2968 (R1). Immediate focus comes on 1.2981 (R2) and 1.2996 (R3) in such scenario.
Resistance Levels: 1.2968, 1.2981, 1.2996
Support Levels: 1.2905, 1.2891, 1.2877
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GBPUSD
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HIGH
1.60873
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LOW
1.6069
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BID
1.60870
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ASK
1.60879
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CHANGE
0.08%
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TIME
08:05:07
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OUTLOOK SUMMARY
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TREND CONDITION
Downward penetration
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TRADERS SENTIMENT
Bearish
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IMPLIED VOLATILITY
Low
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The initial uptrend formation was resumed later today. Possible targets are located at 1.6094 (R2) and 1.6102 (R3), in case of successful penetration above the next resistance level at 1.6087 (R1).
Resistance Levels: 1.6087, 1.6094, 1.6102
Support Levels: 1.6063, 1.6052, 1.6042
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USDJPY
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HIGH
82.437
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LOW
82.305
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BID
82.310
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ASK
82.315
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CHANGE
-0.06%
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TIME
08:05:08
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OUTLOOK SUMMARY
Sideway
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TREND CONDITION
Sideway
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TRADERS SENTIMENT
Bearish
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IMPLIED VOLATILITY
Low
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USD/JPY trades in non-directional basis on the medium term perspective. Further price decrease is expected below the next support level at 82.28 (S1). Break here is required to enable next targets at 82.20 (S2) and 82.14 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 82.44, 82.50, 82.56
Support Levels: 82.28, 82.20, 82.14
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