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MARKET UPDATE 11.10.2012

2012-10-10 21:08 GMT

Spain’s S&P downgrade

Ratings agency S&P announced it has cut Spain’s sovereign debt rating from BBB+ to BBB-, with Outlook Negative. The statement from S&P reads: “The downgrade reflects our view of mounting risks to Spain's public finances, due to rising economic and political pressures.”

S&P adds: “In our view, the capacity of Spain's political institutions (both domestic and multilateral) to deal with the severe challenges posed by the current economic and financial crisis is declining, and therefore, in accordance with our rating methodology … we have lowered the rating by two notches.”

Read More

2012-10-11 06:00 GMT

Germany. Consumer Price Index

2012-10-11 08:00 GMT

E.M.U. ECB Monthly Bulletinsenectus

2012-10-11 12:30 GMT

United States. Trade Balance.

2012-10-11 15:00 GMT

United States. Crude Oil Inventories

2012-10-11 04:18 GMT

USD/JPY threatening bids below 78.00

2012-10-11 04:17 GMT

AUD/JPY more choppy action around 80 figure

2012-10-11 04:49 GMT

Analysts’ eye on EUR/USD

2012-10-11 03:34 GMT

AUD/USD breaks 1.0275

AUDUSD
1.02798 / 806
NZDUSD
0.81793 / 803
USDCHF
0.93980 / 988
USDCAD
0.98085 / 093
GBPJPY
124.983 / 991
EURCHF
1.20900 / 909
GOLD
1764.44 / .72
SILVER
34.09 / .11
EURUSD 1.28643 / 1.28647
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.2939

1.2909

1.2879

1.2848

1.2816

1.2783

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Downward
penetration

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical Summary: After the Spain’s sovereign debt has been downgraded to the BBB-, EURUSD has settled negative bias. Main scenario: Further decline is possible below the next support level at 1.2848 (S1). Expected targets locates at 1.2816 (S2) and 1.2783 (S3) in potential. Alternative scenario: Our next resistance level is placed above the fresh high at 1.2879 (R1), violation here might expose next targets at 1.2909 (R2) and 1.2939 (R3).

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GBPUSD 1.60146 / 1.60153
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.6085

1.6060

1.6035

1.5999

1.5973

1.5946

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Downward
penetration

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical Summary: Pair has settled negative bias on the hourly timeframe but recently moved in sideways mode. Today we expect further correction development as main scenario. Main scenario: Successful penetration above the resistance at 1.6035 (R1) might provide sufficient space for the price increase towards to our targets at 1.6060 (R2) and 1.6085 (R3). Alternative scenario: On the flip side, depreciation below the support level at 1.5999 (S1) would suggest next targets at 1.5973 (S2) and 1.5946 (S3) in potential.

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USDJPY 78.045 / 78.048
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

78.27

78.18

78.10

77.98

77.91

77.82

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Downward
penetration

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical Summary: Our outlook is negative for USD versus JPY. Our technical indicators are pointing down and we expect further market decline today. Main scenario: Break below the support at 77.98 (S1) would suggest next target at 77.91 (S2). Price level at 77.82 (S3) is acting as final support level for the pair today. Alternative scenario: If the market manage to climb above the resistance level at 78.10 (R1) we expect next target to be achieved at 78.18 (R2) and any further rise would then be targeting to 78.27 (R3).

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