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MARKET UPDATE 10.08.2012

2012-08-10 04:48 GMT

RBA outlook for growth continues around trend with inflation on target

The RBA’s quarterly update on financial markets and the economy held few surprises for the market, says NAB economist Robert Henderson. To summarize the report, Robert reports: "The RBA expects some moderation in growth in the second half the 2012 after strong growth in the first half (at least as measured by GDP) and then the economy growing at trend ahead. At the same time, inflation has bottomed but is expected to travel within the target band out to the end of 2014."

As it has been usual in the recent past, Fridays don't bring any critical EZ sovereign debt auctions to take place, and London session ahead will again be a quiet one in terms of EUR macro data related, despite the bunch of minor figures will be released, starting with German CPI and HCPI at 06:00 GMT, followed 45 minutes later by French industrial,manufacturing production, and Gov budget balance, and Italian CPI at 08:00 GMT. The UK will deliver PPI figures at 08:30 GMT which could bring some volatility to cross EUR/GBP. (fxstreet.com)

Read More

2012-08-10 06:00 GMT

Germany. Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Jul)

2012-08-10 08:00 GMT

United Kingdom. PPI Core Output (YoY)

2012-08-10 12:30 GMT

Canada. Unemployment Rate (Jul)

2012-08-10 18:00 GMT

United States. Monthly Budget Statement (Jul)

2012-08-10 04:32 GMT

GBP/USD selling to continue upon break of 1.56

2012-08-10 03:54 GMT

After China trade print, worst still to come - HSBC

2012-08-10 03:12 GMT

Trade Balance figures disappoint in July

2012-08-10 02:36 GMT

AUD/USD to fresh session lows post RBA

AUDUSD
1.05191 / 195
NZDUSD
0.80954 / 965
USDCHF
0.97728 / 737
USDCAD
0.99345 / 352
GBPJPY
122.688 / 702
EURCHF
1.20106 / 111
GOLD
1611.76 / .04
SILVER
27.96 / .98
EURUSD 1.22887 / 1.22892
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.2519

1.2420

1.2327

1.2265

1.2148

1.2038

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Up
trend

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Yesterday instrument declined below our suggested support level at 1.2325 and formed fresh low at 1.2265 (S1), our next support level. Uptrend on the medium term still in power and we might see appreciation of the instrument later on today. A break above next resistance level at 1.2327 (R1) would suggest next target at 1.2420 (R2). If the price holds its momentum on the upside we can expect a further rise towards to 1.2519 (R3). On the other hand, loss of next support at 1.2265 (S1) might lead to the further correction development with targets at 1.2148 (S2) and 1.2038 (S3) levels.

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GBPUSD 1.56203 / 1.56212
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.5755

1.5696

1.5647

1.5605

1.5555

1.5501

SUMMARY

Sideway

TREND

Sideway

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Overbought

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

GBPUSD successfully penetrated below our expected support level at 1.5653 and met our first target at 1.5606. Technically, development of the trend might occur in any direction now. Clearance of next resistance level at 1.5647 (R1) would suggest next targets at 1.5696 (R2) and any further rise will be limited by last resistance at 1.5755 (R3) intraday. From the other side, loss of next support at 1.5605 (S1) might encourage executing of orders and drive market price towards to the next targets at 1.5555 (S2) and 1.5501 (S3) levels.

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USDJPY 78.544 / 78.549
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

79.20

79.01

78.79

78.48

78.29

78.09

SUMMARY

Sideway

TREND

Upward
penetration

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

As expected yesterday, USDJPY continued its range trading mode and we are not expecting the sentiment change today. Next support level stays at 78.48 (S1). Brake here would suggest next target at 78.29 (S2), where we can see reversal of the intraday tendency. Any further fall would then be limited by last support at 78.09 (S3). From the upper side, next resistance levels locates at 78.79 (R1) and 79.01 (R2). In current market conditions we suggest to wait for clear signal of market sentiment change.

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