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MARKET UPDATE 10.05.2013

2013-05-10 07:00 GMT

Will a busy economic schedule next week be the catalyst for EUR/USD?

The EUR/USD finished the day down 116 pips at 1.3044. Economic data was quiet for the most part but weekly jobless claims out of the US came in better than expected at 323k vs. 3.35k forecast. The US Dollar was well bid across the board, with the majority of action taking place in the USD/JPY which crossed the 100 threshold for the first time in four years. This seemed to help provide additional USD buying against other pairs, and also helped limit advances in commodities which were primarily lower for the day. Economic releases out of the Eurozone in the coming session include German Trade Balance, Italian Industrial Production, and EU Consumer Price Index.

After the better than expected jobs number past Friday, and another week of improvement in continued claims, some analysts view it as a sign the US Dollar could be set up for further gains in coming weeks. Furthermore, if we see continued gains in USD/JPY it could also be a tailwind and help the US Dollar remain well bid in other pairs. - FXstreet.com

2013-05-10 12:30 GMT

US.Fed's Bernanke Speech

2013-05-10 12:30 GMT

CA.Unemployment Rate (Apr)

2013-05-10 12:30 GMT

CA.Net Change in Employment (Apr)

2013-05-10 12:30 GMT

CA.Participation rate (Apr)

2013-05-10 04:36 GMT

Kiwi edging lower in Asia trade

2013-05-10 01:59 GMT

USD/JPY, bulls officially staring at 101.00 from the rear mirror

2013-05-10 01:03 GMT

AUD/USD feeling the selling pressure ahead of RBA statement

2013-05-10 00:28 GMT

USD/JPY completes ‘pennant’ pattern on daily chart, further gains ahead?

AUDUSD
1.00753 / 763
NZDUSD
0.83631 / 646
USDCHF
0.94810 / 820
USDCAD
1.00806 / 814
GBPJPY
155.837 / 850
EURCHF
1.23700 / 707
GOLD
1459.43 / .78
SILVER
23.75 / .79
EURUSD HIGH 1.30467 LOW 1.30214 BID 1.30451 ASK 1.30455 CHANGE 0.03% TIME 08:20:08

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Down

TREND CONDITION

Downward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bullish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Possibility of market strengthening is seen above the immediate resistive barrier at 1.3056 (R1). Price extension above it is required to validate our next intraday targets at 1.3079 (R2) and 1.3105 (R3). Downwards scenario: Any downside penetration is limited to the initial support level at 1.3010 (S1). A breach of which would open a route towards to next target at 1.2987 (S2) and potentially could expose our final support for today at 1.2965 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3056, 1.3079, 1.3105

Support Levels: 1.3010, 1.2987, 1.2965

GBPUSD HIGH 1.54572 LOW 1.54377 BID 1.54487 ASK 1.54490 CHANGE 0.01% TIME 08:20:09

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Down

TREND CONDITION

Down
trend

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

Upwards scenario: Market formed gradual descending move however price appreciation is possible above the next resistance level at 1.5460 (R1). Break here is required to enable next attractive points at 1.5487 (R2) and 1.5516 (R3). Downwards scenario: Penetration below the support at 1.5427 (S1) is liable to put more downward pressure on the instrument in the near-term perspective. As a result our supportive means at 1.5402 (S2) and 1.5380 (S3) might be triggered.

Resistance Levels: 1.5460, 1.5487, 1.5516

Support Levels: 1.5427, 1.5402, 1.5380

USDJPY HIGH 101.197 LOW 100.54 BID 100.937 ASK 100.942 CHANGE 0.32% TIME 08:20:10

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Upward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

Upwards scenario: USD/JPY continue its consolidation phase on the hourly chart. Possibility of uptrend evolvement is seen above the next resistance at 101.11 (R1). Violation here might increase bullish pressure and validate next intraday targets at 101.47 (R2) and 101.83 (R3). Downwards scenario: Further correction development is limited now to the session low - 100.56 (S1). If the price manages to surpass it we would suggest next intraday targets at 100.18 (S2) and 99.75 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 101.11, 101.47, 101.83

Support Levels: 100.56, 100.18, 99.75

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