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2011-08-10 11:14 GMT
Moody’s maintains a negative outlook on Spanish rating
Moody’s rating agency announced today that it maintains a negative outlook on Spain’s Baa3 credit rating. One of the main reasons for this decision was the agency’s conviction that the country will fail to reach the 4.5% deficit target fixed by the EU.
In Moody’s opinion, Spain will only manage to bring down its deficit to 6% this year, failing thus to reach the 4.5% target required by Brussels.
In the report, which was released in the European morning, the agency assures that the continuous deviations from the deficit objectives and the recurring revisions of the estimates carried out by the Spanish government undermine its credibility.
Even though the agency acknowledges the country’s fiscal consolidation efforts and highlights the good results obtained in 2012, it also warns against the multiple threats to the Spanish economy.
For the fifth consecutive trading day, the euro extended its gains against the U.S. dollar thanks in part to better than expected German data. The Eurozone's largest economy reported a greater trade and current account surplus in the month of February. The trade balance rose to a high of 16.8B from 13.6B while the current account surplus rose to 16B from 9.7B. At first glance these numbers are very good and suggests that the pullback in Germany was temporary but a deeper look at the details show sizeable declines in exports and imports. Exports fell 1.5% against expectations for a drop of 0.3%. Weaker exports also hurt France who reported a larger trade deficit for the month of February. We expect the EUR/USD rally to stall at its resistance level of 1.3130, where the 50 and 100-day Simple Moving Averages converge. Meanwhile the Swiss Franc is trading lower against the euro and higher against the dollar following mixed economic data. Retail sales ticked up in the month of February but consumer price growth eased. For the Swiss National Bank, these inconsistent changes in Swiss data will leave monetary policy easy. No major Eurozone economic reports are scheduled for release tomorrow.-FXstreet.com
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N/A
China. New Loans (Mar)
2013-04-10 17:00 GMT
USA. 10-Year Note Auction
2013-04-10 18:00 GMT
USA. US FOMC Minutes
2013-04-10 22:30 GMT
New Zeland. Business NZ PMI (Mar)
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2013-04-10 04:29 GMT
EUR/USD, above 1.31 where true strength test begins
2013-04-10 03:31 GMT
NZD/JPY at 95 not outside the bounds of possibility - BNZ
2013-04-10 02:26 GMT
AUD/JPY pushes again above 104 highs post China trade deficit
2013-04-10 02:22 GMT
AUD/USD strengthens bullish case; 1.0516 new high post China trade
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EURUSD
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HIGH
1.30907
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LOW
1.30731
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BID
1.30754
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ASK
1.30763
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CHANGE
-0.05%
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TIME
08:35:48
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OUTLOOK SUMMARY
Up
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TREND CONDITION
Up trend
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TRADERS SENTIMENT
Bearish
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IMPLIED VOLATILITY
Medium
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MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
Upwards scenario: While price is quoted above the moving averages out technical outlook would be positive. Yesterday high offers next resistance level at 1.3103 (R1). Any price action above it would suggest next targets at 1.3128 (R2) and 1.3154 (S3).
Downwards scenario: Penetration below the support at 1.3068 (S1) is liable to put more downward pressure on the instrument in the near-term perspective. As a result our supportive means at 1.3042 (S2) and 1.3015 (S3) might be triggered.
Resistance Levels: 1.3103, 1.3128, 1.3154
Support Levels: 1.3068, 1.3042, 1.3015
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GBPUSD
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HIGH
1.53389
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LOW
1.53125
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BID
1.53201
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ASK
1.53205
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CHANGE
0.02%
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TIME
08:35:49
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OUTLOOK SUMMARY
Up
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TREND CONDITION
Upward
penetration
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TRADERS SENTIMENT
Bullish
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IMPLIED VOLATILITY
Medium
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Upwards scenario: On the upside potential is seen for a break above the resistance at 1.5341 (R1). In such case we would suggest next target at 1.5361 (R2) and any further rise would then be limited to final resistance at 1.5382 (R3).
Downwards scenario: On the other hand, successful retest of our next support level at 1.5311 (S1) might provide sufficient momentum for the price acceleration towards to interim target at 1.5292 (S2). Final aim for today locates at 1.5271 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 1.5341, 1.5361, 1.5382
Support Levels: 1.5311, 1.5292, 1.5271
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USDJPY
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HIGH
99.314
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LOW
98.914
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BID
99.129
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ASK
99.135
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CHANGE
0.11%
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TIME
08:35:50
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OUTLOOK SUMMARY
Up
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TREND CONDITION
Sideway
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TRADERS SENTIMENT
Bullish
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IMPLIED VOLATILITY
Medium
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Upwards scenario: We are not expecting busy session ahead however upwards extension above the resistance at 99.65 (R1) level would keep the bullish structure intact and validate our next intraday targets at 100.12 (R2) and 100.57 (R3).
Downwards scenario: On the short-term perspective the pair might encounter supportive measures at 98.74 (S1). Loss here might change intraday technical structure and opens the way for a test of 98.32 (S2) and 97.89 (S3) later on today.
Resistance Levels: 99.65, 100.12, 100.57
Support Levels: 98.74, 98.32, 97.89
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