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MARKET UPDATE 09.08.2012

2012-08-09 03:29 GMT

BOJ: no change in policy

The BoJ monetary policy decision is out and as most participants expected - not a clear cut as in previous months - , the central bank has kept the asset purchase fund at 45 trillion yen, with the credit Loan program also unchanged at 25T yen. Total size of Asset-Purchase Program remains at Y70 trillion. Central bank statement said economy picking up moderately. The Japanese GDP figures will be released next week.

Looking at the economic agenda for the London session ahead one should think another quiet session is around the corner, though with such extreme low liquidity given summer time holidays in Europe and London Olympics in the middle of the final series, any unexpected headline coming from nowhere could make things change in the blink of an eye. Still, no major sovereign debt auctions are scheduled from the EZ, and troubled countries Spain and Italy's 10y yields stay on check right below the 7% in the Spanish case and right below the 6% for his Latin neighbor. (fxstreet.com)

Read More

2012-08-09 08:00 GMT

E.M.U. ECB Monthly Report

2012-08-09 08:30 GMT

U.K. Goods Trade Balance (Jun)

2012-08-09 12:15 GMT

CANADA. Housing Starts (Jul)

2012-08-09 12:30 GMT

U.S. Trade Balance (Jun)

2012-08-09 04:28 GMT

GBP/USD sideways below 100 EMA; UK trade accounts ahead

2012-08-09 02:53 GMT

EUR/USD: break of key levels eyed – V.Bednarik

2012-08-09 02:29 GMT

AUD/JPY rallies capped below key Fibo resistance

2012-08-09 01:40 GMT

China: July CPI prints 1.8% YoY, beating expectations

AUDUSD
1.05891 / 899
NZDUSD
0.81351 / 359
USDCHF
0.97119 / 127
USDCAD
0.99388 / 395
GBPJPY
122.977 / 991
EURCHF
1.20129 / 134
GOLD
1616.74 / .02
SILVER
28.16 / .18
EURUSD 1.23692 / 1.23695
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.2595

1.2519

1.2443

1.2325

1.2243

1.2148

SUMMARY

TREND

Upward
penetration

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

As we expected yesterday, EURUSD continued to move in correction mode. Pair dropped below our suggested support level at 1.2368 but did not manage to gain momentum reversed on the US session. Today we are not expecting significant volatility increase however ECB Monetary report release at 08:00 GMT time might affect the markets. If the break occurs above next resistance level at 1.2443 (R1), we suggest next targets at 1.2519 (R2) and 1.2595 (R3). The downside trend evolvement is limited by next support level at 1.2325 (S1), surpassing of which might lead to the next targets at 1.2243 (S2) and 1.2148 (S3).

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GBPUSD 1.56649 / 1.56658
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.5816

1.5755

1.5696

1.5653

1.5606

1.5554

SUMMARY

TREND

Up
trend

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

GBPUSD moved below expected support level at 1.5574 but failed to develop success and recover all daily losses. A further increase will then bring focus to the next resistance levels at 1.5696 (R1) and 1.5755 (R2). Final resistance can be found at 1.5816 (R3) level. Likely we might see retracement from previous day gains. Next support level holds at 1.5653 (S1). A break below that level would suggest next target at 1.5606 (S2), further fall will then focus on the next target at 1.5554 (S3).

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USDJPY 78.506 / 78.509
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

79.00

78.78

78.58

78.23

78.05

77.86

SUMMARY

Sideway

TREND

Sideway

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technically, instrument moved in range mode. In such situation we suggest to wait for clear signal of sentiment change. For long positions we suggest intraday targets at 78.58 (R1) and 78.78 (R2), clearance here is required for sentiment change to bullish and further appreciation might find final resistance at 79.00 (R3). Short positions might face supports at 78.23 (S1) and 78.05 (S2). Strong technical support located at 77.86 (S3), brake here would suggest of sentiment change to bearish.

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