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2012-06-08 05:45 GMT
This has been a busy week for central Banks around the Globe
The US markets ended mixed on Thursday after seeing early strength. The initial strength on Wall Street was partly on account of a positive reaction to news of a surprise interest rate cut by China's central bank. The markets also benefited from the release of a report showing a decline in initial jobless claims in the week ended June 2. However, stocks pulled back well off their highs as Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke began to testify before the Joint Economic Committee in Washington. While the Dow increased by 46.2 points or 0.4% to 12,461.0, the Nasdaq fell 13.7 points or 0.5% to 2,831.0 and the S&P 500 edged down 0.1 points to 1,315.0
Bernanke says Federal Reserve stands ready to act to protect the financial system and economy in the event that financial stresses from the European crisis escalate. However, the testimony to congress didn’t contain explicit cues about whether further easing is coming soon.
Spain sells € 2.07 bn of bonds; tops target Spain saw borrowing costs rose (at an average yield 6.04% up from 5.74% in previous sale) in a closely-watched 10-yr debt auction, selling a total of € 2.07bn. Spain's Treasury had aimed to sell a total of € 1 bn to €2 bn of debt.
Initial weekly U.S. jobless claims fell to 377,000 The no. of initial applicants filing for unemployment benefits declined in the week ended June 2, but jobless claims remained at a level consistent with mediocre hiring trends. First-time claims fell by 12,000 to 377K from a revised claim of 389K.
China’s PBOC cuts interest rates by 25bps China's central bank lowered its benchmark loan and deposit rates by 25bps each to 6.31% and 3.25% respectively and moved to allow rates to float more freely, in a bid to support economic growth.
Read More
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2012-06-08 08:30 GMT
UK - Producer Price Index
2012-06-08 12:15 GMT
CANADA - Housing Starts
2012-06-08 12:30 GMT
US - Trade Balance
2012-06-08 12:30 GMT
CANADA - Unemployment Rate
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2012-06-08 02:41 GMT
EUR/USD at session lows as risk tolerance contracts
2012-06-08 01:39 GMT
AUD/USD breaks 0.9850 after Aus trade balance
2012-06-08 01:36 GMT
Australia: Trade deficit at $203m in April
2012-06-08 00:00 GMT
Japan: Economy grew stronger than expected in Q1
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SUMMARY
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TREND
Up
trend
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MA10
Bullish
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MA20
Bearish
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STOCHASTIC
Neutral
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MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
The pair has retreated from the 1.2620 area. The 1.2540 level will be a key pivot, below the trendline near 1.25. A break below 1.25 will suggest completion of a consolidation pattern, which could be seen as a flag. The break below can open up June’s low in the 1.2285-1.23 area.
Failure to break below 1.2540 followed by a push back above the pre-Bernanke high at 1.2620 opens up the 1.2820 level. This is the 200-SMA in the 4H chart and also a resistance pivot from May 22.
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SUMMARY
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TREND
Up
trend
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MA10
Bullish
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MA20
Bearish
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STOCHASTIC
Neutral
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MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
In terms of technical levels, supports are seen at 1.5430/16 and then at 1.5375. On the other hand, resistance levels are seen at 1.5608/37 and then at 1.5664. The pair continued consolidating around 76.4% Fibonacci while Stochastic remained positive suggesting further upside actions. A break above 1.5515 will confirm and accelerate the bullish scenario mainly targeting 61.8% level. Only a break below 1.5360 will negate and give a reason for pause.
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SUMMARY
Up
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TREND
Up
trend
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MA10
Bullish
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MA20
Bullish
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STOCHASTIC
Neutral
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MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
The trading range for today is among key support at 77.60 and key resistance now at 80.00.
The general trend over short-term basis is to the upside targeting 81.45 as far as areas of 77.20 remain intact. The pair has successfully broken out of the falling channel since March and there is a possibility of a reversal in trend taking shape with more upside to come. It is still a little early to be sure but if the price action today closes above the channel then this could constitute a valid break-out and indicate a continuation of the rally higher, with 50 and 100 day MA's at 80.15 targeted initially and possibly 80.75 thereafter.
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