FXCC
FXCC FXCC FXCC
FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC
MARKET UPDATE 08.03.2012

2012-03-08 07:00 GMT

The ECB is expected to leave the interest rate unchanged at 1.0% ;

EUR/USD is currently dealing with session highs last at 1.3178, capped below descending trend line coming from 1.3485 double top Feb 29, and also below past Friday's lows and weekly close. Local share markets have been on the bounce today after three consecutive days falling, with US futures pointing higher and Nikkei index up by +1.51% above the 9700 points mark. GBP/USD opened the day at 1.5738 and spent the Asia-Pacific session trading in a 1.5722/45 range before breaking to a session high of 1.5755 as Asian stocks were lifted on a rumor that the PBoC may cut the RRR by 50bps today. USD/JPY has extended the bounce from its weekly low at 80.57 to 81.35 so far in the Asia-Pacific, last at 81.23 from 81.07 at the end of trade late Wednesday.

AUD/USD has just shot up to a session high of 1.0605 mid-day in Asia-Pacific trading, having rallied from an earlier post- Aussie unemployment rate session low of 1.0530 to 1.0606 on rumors the PBOC might cut the RRR 50 BPS later today. The EUR/JPY cross is currently retracing losses made earlier in the week and is pushing up against psychological resistance at the 107.00 mark after briefly peaking at 107.04.

Read More

2012-03-08 08:15 GMT

Switzerland Consumer Price Index (MoM) (Feb)

2012-03-08 12:00 GMT

United Kingdom BoE Interest Rate Decision (Mar 8)

2012-03-08 12:00 GMT

United Kingdom BoE Asset Purchase Facility (Mar)

2012-03-08 12:30 GMT

European Monetary Union ECB Interest Rate Decision

2012-03-08 05:06 GMT

Japan Feb Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook up to 50.1

2012-03-08 04:25 GMT

EUR/JPY testing offers above 107.00

2012-03-08 00:31 GMT

Australia Unemployment Rate s.a. 5.2% in Feb

2012-03-08 00:05 GMT

Japan: Q4 GDP at an unsurprising -0.2%; record Jan current account deficit

AUDUSD
1.06183 / 194
NZDUSD
0.82156 / 175
USDCHF
0.91493 / 505
USDCAD
0.99552 / 563
GBPJPY
128.210 / 226
EURCHF
1.20566 / 580
GOLD
1688.90 / .25
SILVER
33.57 / .59
EURUSD 1.31771 / 1.31781
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.3424

1.3362

1.3280

1.3240

1.3096

1.3053

1.3023

1.2985

SUMMARY

Neutral

TREND

Neutral

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

EURUSD fell and found a strong support at 1.3096 (S1) a significant technical and psychological level. As we can see on the chart the pair is at a crucial point, as a break below 1.3096 (S1) will confirm a new trend – downtrend. On the other hand if the price manages to break above 1.3240 (R1) it will move above the uptrend trend line and it will indicate a continuation of the uptrend. As we are at a crucial point that it establish if we are in a turning point or if we are still in an uptrend, our recommendations for today’s trading session is no position until one of the above scenarios take place.

GBPUSD 1.57674 / 1.57683
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.5991

1.5943

1.5895

1.5847

1.5695

1.5633

1.5580

1.5537

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Down
trend

MA10

Neutral

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

GBPUSD rally continued to push lower as yesterday the price retested 1.5695 (S1) level twice and failed to break lower as a result of an upwards move just below yesterday’s resistance. A break below 1.5695 (S1) will confirm our short positions targeting 1.5633 (S2) a level that has been retested a couple of times in the last two months but without succeeding to break below it, turning this into a strong technical level. On the other hand, if the pair retests and breaks above the first resistance level of 1.5782 (R1), we would expect the price to retest 1.5847 (R2) and a further rise will be limited at 1.5895 (R3).

USDJPY 81.312 / 81.320
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

83.14

82.79

82.30

81.87

80.96

80.58

80.24

79.85

SUMMARY

Up

TREND

Up
trend

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

USDJPY fell and formed a strong support at 80.58 (S1). After that the price made 3 attempts to break below it but without any success. Following that the price rose and successfully broke above yesterday resistance 81.14 and now it seems that is heading towards 81.87 (R1) a year high, for a retest. Both of our Moving Averages 10 and 20 turned bullish and as we can see the pair is gaining strong upwards momentum. Look for long positions at the current price targeting 81.87 (R1). A stop loss should be placed between 80.96 (S1) and 80.58 (S2).

MARKET INFORMATION AND OPINIONS: Any information provided by FXCC on this newsletter, including but not limited to news, research, opinions, analyses and prices, is provided as commentary on the Forex market generally -- in other words, it is not, and should not be considered as, investment advice. Consequently, FXCC shall not be liable for any loss or damage, including but not limited to loss of profits, which arises directly or indirectly from reliance upon or use of information contained on this newsletter.

RISK WARNING: Trading in Forex and Contracts for Difference (CFDs) is highly speculative and involves substantial risk of loss. It is possible to lose all your capital. Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors. Only invest with money you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved before investing. Seek independent advice if necessary.