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MARKET UPDATE 07.06.2012

2012-06-07 05:45 GMT

US Fed Beige Book shows “moderate” recovery

Globally, US markets and major European markets closed sharply higher amid optimism about further stimulus from the world's central banks. The optimism came from the European Central Bank’s (ECB) decision to leave interest rates unchanged as expected and following the Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate cut on Tuesday. Further, ECB president also stated that the central bank stands ready to act if the economic situation continues to worsen. The sentiments were boosted further following the release of the Fed's Beige Book report, which said overall economic activity expanded at a moderate pace during the reporting period from early April to late May.

Yesterday, the US Fed presented the Beige Book report, which reviews the overall US economy the report showed that the U.S. economy has continued to grow at a “moderate” pace over the past two months, with only one district reporting slower growth, the Federal Reserve said Wednesday in its latest reading of economic conditions. The Fed has used the phrase “moderate” in one way or another to describe the economy in every Beige Book report since last fall.

Read More

2012-06-07 08:28 GMT

UK - Purchasing Manager Index Services

2012-06-07 11:00 GMT

UK - BoE Interest Rate Decision

2012-06-07 11:00 GMT

US - Initial Jobless Claims

2012-06-07 14:00 GMT

US - Fed's Bernanke testifies

2012-06-07 04:13 GMT

EUR/USD quiet below 1.2600 ahead FED Bernanke testifies

2012-06-07 03:49 GMT

GBP/USD consolidating below 1.55 ahead of MPC

2012-06-07 02:04 GMT

Aussie powers up after surprising jobs data

2012-06-07 01:31 GMT

Australia May Employment Change s.a. 38.9K

AUDUSD
0.99490 / 500
NZDUSD
0.77080 / 093
USDCHF
0.95595 / 608
USDCAD
1.02782 / 793
GBPJPY
122.860 / 876
EURCHF
1.20110 / 121
GOLD
1621.41 / .69
SILVER
29.30 / .33
EURUSD 1.25638 / 1.25642
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.2760

1.2673

1.2618

1.2475

1.2387

1.2332

SUMMARY

TREND

Up
trend

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

The euro has dropped from its short term 76.4 Fib level at 1.2546 and looking a bit overstretched short term but medium-term charts have turned bullish. Buyers will hold longs unless a break below 1.2400 occurs. Only then will there be another assault on the downside with 1.2350 once more coming under pressure. There is quite a lot of resistance on the topside at 1.2523/25 to 1.2545 but the medium-term charts are poised for a break above 1.2550 and move into a market rally looking at 1.2620.

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GBPUSD 1.54741 / 1.54750
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.5574

1.5528

1.5495

1.5452

1.5425

1.5365

SUMMARY

TREND

Up
trend

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

At present the fib level is at 1.5438 and looking a little overextended on the topside of the 60-minute charts. Therefore look for the market to find a short-term top here. However, if it fails we may see 1.5460 through to 1.5495 as the next challenge. Medium-term charts remain neutral-to-oversold.

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USDJPY 79.402 / 79.407
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

80.189

79.727

79.470

78.959

78.665

78.344

SUMMARY

Neutral

TREND

Sideway

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

The pair is aiming to 79.470. Once this level is broken the pair will rise to 79.707. Currently the pair is at 0.79.35 a breakdown here, look for the retracement to the 0.382 Fibonacci at 78.66. Our upside target is the -0.270 Fibonacci extension at 79.72 but look for strong resistance at 79.707

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