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MARKET UPDATE 06.12.2012

2012-12-05 22:41 GMT

S&P downgrades Greece to selective default

In an unsurprising headline, reflected by the marginal losses in EUR/USD since the news broke, the rating agency S&P has downgraded Greece's long-term debt rating to selective default from CCC. Greece is technically default. The Greek government invitation to private sector bondholders involvement to participate in the debt buybacks program triggered the decision by S&P. However, according to Jamie McGeever, Editor and presenter at Reuters TV, "once Greek buyback is done, probably on or around Dec 17, selective default will be over, so S&P will likely lift Greece back to CCC rating."

British Chancellor George Osborne delivered his Autumn Budget Statement before the parliament on Wednesday. He emphasized that the Eurozone debt crisis had been weighing on the UK economy and informed that the Office of Budget Responsibility slashed its GDP forecast to -0.1% in 2012 from +0.8%. The predictions for 2012 and 2013 are 1.2% and 2.0%, respectively. - FXstreet.com

2012-12-06 10:00 GMT

European Union. Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ) (Q3)

2012-12-06 10:00 GMT

European Union. Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY) (Q3)

2012-12-06 12:00 GMT

UK. BoE Interest Rate Decision (Dec 6)

2012-12-06 12:45 GMT

ECB Interest Rate Decision

2012-12-06 06:01 GMT

GBP/USD below 1.61 ahead of BoE

2012-12-06 03:59 GMT

EUR/JPY in tight range below 108, ahead of ECB

2012-12-06 03:04 GMT

GBP/JPY pressing on fresh 8-month highs above 132.50

2012-12-06 00:40 GMT

AUD/USD on the rise after better than expected Aus jobs data

AUDUSD
1.04645 / 655
NZDUSD
0.82987 / 998
USDCHF
0.92710 / 722
USDCAD
0.99216 / 226
GBPJPY
132.631 / 639
EURCHF
1.21048 / 057
GOLD
1689.37 / .65
SILVER
32.68 / .70
EURUSD HIGH 1.30769 LOW 1.30453 BID 1.30568 ASK 1.30572 CHANGE -0.06% TIME 08:12:20

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

TREND CONDITION

Up
trend

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

High

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

We expect resuming of the uptrend formation if the price manages to overcome next resistance level at 1.3085 (R1). Immediate focus comes on 1.3104 (R1) and 1.3126 (R3) in such scenario.

Resistance Levels: 1.3085, 1.3104, 1.3126

Support Levels: 1.3045, 1.3027, 1.3008

GBPUSD HIGH 1.61002 LOW 1.60859 BID 1.60882 ASK 1.60892 CHANGE -0.02% TIME 08:12:21

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Sideway

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bullish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

High

A medium-term bias is negative now though intraday bullish forces might be activated if the pair penetrates above the resistance level at 1.6115 (R1). Next immediate resistance levels holds at 1.6121 (R2) and 1.6129 (R3).

Resistance Levels: 1.6115, 1.6121, 1.6129

Support Levels: 1.6085, 1.6073, 1.6062

USDJPY HIGH 82.617 LOW 82.358 BID 82.442 ASK 82.445 CHANGE -0.03% TIME 08:12:22

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Sideway

TREND CONDITION

Sideway

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bullish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

High

We are not expecting significant price deviation later on today, though risk of positive tone establishment is seen above the next resistance level at 82.65 (R1). Any penetration above this level would put in focus higher targets at 82.77 (R2) and 92.97 (R3).

Resistance Levels: 82.65, 82.77, 82.97

Support Levels: 82.04, 81.92, 81.81

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