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MARKET UPDATE 06.05.2013

2013-05-06 07:00 GMT

EUR/USD still searching for direction after busy week of economic data

After what was an extremely busy week of economic releases and central bank monetary policy meetings, the EUR/USD finished the week up 87 pips at 1.3116. The price action remains extremely choppy with neither side being able to sustain any follow through for a substantial amount of time. Many analysts are now wondering whether or not the “risk on” mentality which was boosted by the better than expected US Jobs data will have any follow through going into upcoming week and how will it influence the foreign exchange market.

According to Kathy Lien of BK Asset Management, “Investors put on their rose colored glasses today and drove currencies and equities sharply higher on the back of stronger job growth in the month of April. At a time when other central banks like the ECB and BoJ are kick starting a new round of easing, the better than expected labor market report will keep the Fed comfortably on hold. The question now is whether the payroll driven rally in FX (and stocks) will last. With far less important data on the calendar next week, we think investors will remain optimistic.” - FXstreet.com

2013-05-06 13:00 GMT

EU.ECB President Draghi's Speech

2013-05-06 14:00 GMT

CA.Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (Apr)

2013-05-06 14:00 GMT

CA.Ivey Purchasing Managers Index s.a (Apr)

2013-05-06 23:30 GMT

AUD.AiG Performance of Construction Index (Apr)

2013-05-06 04:09 GMT

EUR/USD still searching for direction after busy week of economic data

2013-05-06 03:18 GMT

GBP/JPY notches highest close since August 2009

2013-05-06 01:44 GMT

AUD/USD edges lower after weak Aussie retail sales number

2013-05-06 01:02 GMT

NZD/USD edges higher in early Asia trade

AUDUSD
1.02841 / 849
NZDUSD
0.85457 / 467
USDCHF
0.93521 / 531
USDCAD
1.00729 / 736
GBPJPY
154.431 / 448
EURCHF
1.22702 / 712
GOLD
1476.71 / .06
SILVER
24.23 / .27
EURUSD HIGH 1.31408 LOW 1.31084 BID 1.31214 ASK 1.31219 CHANGE 0.05% TIME 08:16:42

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

TREND CONDITION

Downward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Possibility of market strengthening is seen above the resistance level at 1.3156 (R1). Clearance here is required to validate next interim target at 1.3185 (R2) and any further rise would then be targeting mark at 1.3219 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, instrument retests our next support level at 1.3117 (S1) today. Market decline below it would create a stronger bearish sentiment and enable our interim target at 1.3084 (S2). Final support for today locates at 1.3057 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3156, 1.3185, 1.3219

Support Levels: 1.3117, 1.3084, 1.3057

GBPUSD HIGH 1.55981 LOW 1.55334 BID 1.55812 ASK 1.55823 CHANGE 0.07% TIME 08:16:42

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

TREND CONDITION

Up
trend

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Low

Upwards scenario: While price is quoted above the moving averages out technical outlook would be positive. Yesterday high offers next resistance level at 1.5598 (R1). Any price action above it would suggest next targets at 1.5629 (R2) and 1.5659 (S3). Downwards scenario: On the downside our attention is shifted to the immediate support level at 1.5573 (S1). Break here is required to enable bearish forces and expose our intraday targets at 1.5550 (S2) and 1.5522 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.5598, 1.5629, 1.5659

Support Levels: 1.5573, 1.5550, 1.5522

USDJPY HIGH 99.205 LOW 99.06 BID 99.095 ASK 99.099 CHANGE 0.1% TIME 08:16:43

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

TREND CONDITION

Upward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bullish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Low

Upwards scenario: Medium term bias remains positive however further market rise is limited now to the key resistive barrier at 99.27 (R1), clearance here is required to enable next resistances at 99.60 (R2) and last one at 99.88 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the short-term perspective the pair might encounter supportive measures at 98.97 (S1). Loss here might change intraday technical structure and opens the way for a test of 98.57 (S2) and 98.15 (S3) later on today.

Resistance Levels: 99.27, 99.60, 99.88

Support Levels: 98.97, 98.57, 98.15

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