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MARKET UPDATE 05.12.2012

2012-12-04 14:08 GMT

No breakthrough on banking union due to Franco-German dispute

A clash between France and Germany over banking supervision in the Eurozone prevented the Eurogroup from reaching an agreement on the EU banking union on Tuesday. EU finance ministers decided to hold an additional meeting on December 12, just ahead of the EU summit on December 13, by which time a deal on the banking union needs to be made. France and Germany are divided over the scope of ECB's powers as the Eurozone bank supervisor. France pushes for a solution in which the central bank would regulate all the financial institutions in the region, while Germany would like smaller banks to be excluded from this supervision. Berlin is also not too keen on seeing a full banking union formed that quickly, as it fears it will be obliged to pay for potential future banking losses in other Member States.

German finance minister Wolfgang Schäuble commented on France's proposition saying that there was no possibility for the central bank to supervise so many financial institutions, while his French counterpart Pierre Moscovici stated that the EU cannot introduce a system of dual supervision."We have no mandate for a dual system of supervision which would call into question the existence of a single system for some banks," the French finance minister argued. - FXstreet.com

2012-12-05 15:00 GMT

United States. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Nov)

2012-12-05 20:00 GMT

New Zeeland. RBNZ Interest Rate Decision

2012-12-05 20:00 GMT

New Zeeland. Monetary Policy Statement

2012-12-05 20:00 GMT

New Zeeland. RBNZ Press Conference

2012-12-05 05:42 GMT

GBP/USD moves above 1.61, eyes 1.6130

2012-12-05 04:30 GMT

EUR/USD breaks above fresh 8-week highs

2012-12-05 03:00 GMT

EUR/JPY surges to 8-month highs on Nishimura statement

2012-12-05 04:55 GMT

AUD/USD bears defending 1.05

AUDUSD
1.04756 / 765
NZDUSD
0.82546 / 554
USDCHF
0.92615 / 627
USDCAD
0.99147 / 158
GBPJPY
132.643 / 658
EURCHF
1.21454 / 467
GOLD
1705.30 / .58
SILVER
33.14 / .17
EURUSD HIGH 1.31253 LOW 1.30906 BID 1.31074 ASK 1.31082 CHANGE 0.09% TIME 08:07:22

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

TREND CONDITION

Upward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bullish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

High

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Medium term bias is positive for the pair. Risk of market appreciation is seen above the next resistance level at 1.3116 (R1). Loss here would suggest next target at 1.3129 (R2) and any further rise would then be targeting 1.3142 (R3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3116, 1.3129, 1.3142

Support Levels: 1.3090, 1.3080, 1.3072

GBPUSD HIGH 1.61185 LOW 1.60938 BID 1.61062 ASK 1.61072 CHANGE 0.06% TIME 08:07:23

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Downward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

High

Market is forming the right shoulder of the Head and shoulders figure on the hourly chart currently, from our next resistance level at 1.6115 (R1). Above here retracement formation might expand its power towards to resistance levels at 1.6124 (R2) and 1.6138 (R3).

Resistance Levels: 1.6115, 1.6124, 1.6138

Support Levels: 1.6091, 1.6080, 1.6064

USDJPY HIGH 82.338 LOW 81.796 BID 82.263 ASK 82.268 CHANGE 0.45% TIME 08:07:24

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Sideway

TREND CONDITION

Up
trend

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bullish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

High

Instrument moves sideways. In terms of technical levels next resistance level could be found at 82.29 (R1). Appreciation above it might enable next targets at 82.37 (R2) and 82.46 (R3) in potential.

Resistance Levels: 82.29, 82.37, 82.46

Support Levels: 82.16, 82.07, 81.94

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