FXCC
FXCC FXCC FXCC
FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC
MARKET UPDATE 05.07.2012

2012-07-05 05:33 GMT

Central Bank Day… The ECB and the BoE go heads up

This morning Asian share markets are down over 1.5% as they await the ECB decision. Yesterday Asian markets had continued to outperform for the third consecutive day which marked yet another session of consolidation marking marginal gains after clocking large gains post the European summit last week. Broader indices clambered almost a percent. Global indices too witnessed an assorted trading session as investors hoped for an eased monetary stance by the central banks to support the faltering economy. The market is waiting upon the ECB and the Bank of England meetings today which will provide some direction to the markets.

The European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BOE) are both meeting on this morning, and the former is likely cut rates by 25 basis points to its record-low. The BOE may introduce more stimuli after keeping the benchmark rate at an all-time low of 0.5% in June. Yesterday, US markets were closed for the 4th of July holiday so it was light volume all around with little on the news front, little in eco data and little on the political front, except some rhetoric from Iran, pushing up crude oil prices.

Read More

2012-07-05 11:00 GMT

UK - BoE Interest Rate Decision

2012-07-05 11:00 GMT

UK - BoE Asset Purchase Facility

2012-07-05 11:45 GMT

EMU - ECB Interest Rate Decision

2012-07-05 12:15 GMT

US - ADP Employment Change

2012-07-05 04:27 GMT

EUR/USD blocked above 1.2500 ahead of ECB

2012-07-05 04:17 GMT

GBP/USD consolidates below 1.56, BoE eyed

2012-07-05 03:21 GMT

ECB to hold fire; Draghi statement key - UBS

2012-07-05 02:06 GMT

USD/JPY breaks above 80.00

AUDUSD
1.02624 / 631
NZDUSD
0.80269 / 282
USDCHF
USDCAD
1.01283 / 291
GBPJPY
124.479 / 494
EURCHF
1.20141 / 148
GOLD
1615.70 / .00
SILVER
28.14 / .16
EURUSD Connection timeout
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.2679

1.2643

1.2580

1.2481

1.2445

1.2382

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Down
trend

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Overbought

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Signals remain mixed, range trading with support at Friday’s open of 1.2443 and resistance at the 50- day MA of 1.2702. Risk/return is better elsewhere. Firm and sustained trading below 1.2550 however, will be a strong sign that the bears have taken control here again.

-

GBPUSD 1.56058 / 1.56067
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.5772

1.5731

1.5657

1.5542

1.5501

1.5427

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Down
trend

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Oversold

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Signals are mixed although indicators show that the upward momentum has ended with a strong potential for decline. Expect further weakness today to the next important support level at 1.5545/40. Below this support will confirm that the larger degree downtrend on daily chart has likely resumed and strong weakness should follow.

-

USDJPY 79.766 / 79.770
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

80.455

80.215

80.081

79.705

79.465

79.340

SUMMARY

TREND

Up
trend

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Signals are bullish - indicators all point to upward movement; support is at 21 day MA 79.55. The pair has been trading sideways between 79.60 and 80.00 but a break out of this range is likely to occur soon. There is strong favor the upside here. A move above 80.00 should be enough to signal that a rally toward 83.80 level has begun.

-

MARKET INFORMATION AND OPINIONS: Any information provided by FXCC on this newsletter, including but not limited to news, research, opinions, analyses and prices, is provided as commentary on the Forex market generally -- in other words, it is not, and should not be considered as, investment advice. Consequently, FXCC shall not be liable for any loss or damage, including but not limited to loss of profits, which arises directly or indirectly from reliance upon or use of information contained on this newsletter.

RISK WARNING: Trading in Forex and Contracts for Difference (CFDs) is highly speculative and involves substantial risk of loss. It is possible to lose all your capital. Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors. Only invest with money you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved before investing. Seek independent advice if necessary.