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MARKET UPDATE 04.10.2012

2012-10-04 04:29 GMT

Romney hits first in US debate

Is Mitt Romney breathing new life after the controversial campaign? It appears so after his first debate in front of Barack Obama. Polls show 56% of uncommitted voters say their opinion of Romney has changed for the better, while 13% say that about the President, according to Mark Knoller, CBS News White House Correspondent. According to results of CNN-ORC Post-Debate flash poll who won the debate, Romney 67%, Obama 25%.

A busy trading Thursday for the London session ahead as having plenty of risk events going on, starting with minor data in the form of CPI figures from the Netherlands at 07:00 GMT, followed by Ireland PM Kenny meeting with EU parliament president Schultz at 11:15 GMT, and then going for the long awaited ECB interest rates statement at 11:45 GMT, 45 minutes before ECB press conference starts. BoE will also deliver monetary policy announcement at 11:00 GMT which could add volatility to EUR/GBP cross. IMF will hold press conference at 14:30 GMT.

Read More

2012-10-04 11:00 GMT

United Kingdom. BoE Interest Rate Decision

2012-10-04 11:45 GMT

European Monetary Union. ECB Interest Rate Decision

2012-10-04 14:00 GMT

United States. Factory Orders

2012-10-04 18:00 GMT

United States. FOMC Minutes

2012-10-04 04:54 GMT

EUR/USD has a range to break; ECB unlikely to be the catalyst

2012-10-04 04:31 GMT

USD/CAD rally pauses below trend line resistance

2012-10-04 02:36 GMT

EUR/AUD hits stops above 1.2670

AUDUSD
1.02260 / 266
NZDUSD
0.82096 / 106
USDCHF
0.93743 / 749
USDCAD
0.98621 / 629
GBPJPY
126.545 / 558
EURCHF
1.21190 / 196
GOLD
1781.22 / .50
SILVER
34.76 / .78
EURUSD 1.29279 / 1.29282
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.3018

1.2987

1.2955

1.2895

1.2863

1.2829

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Sideway

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical Summary: Markets would be driven today mostly by macroeconomic data releases. In focus ECB Interest rate decision at 11:45 GMT. From the technical side, deviation from its average parameters is low several days in a row and we expect to see volatility increase ahead. Main scenario: Next resistance level for today locates at 1.2955 (R1). Rise above it might lead to the further trend development with next possible targets at 1.2987 (R2) and 1.3018 (R3). Alternative scenario: Downside direction is limited by next support level at 1.2895 (S1), price decrease below it would be targeting next supports at 1.2863 (S2) and 1.2829 (S3).

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GBPUSD 1.60970 / 1.60977
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.6198

1.6161

1.6127

1.6067

1.6034

1.6000

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Downward
penetration

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical Summary: Instrument continued its weakening on the hourly chart and our indicators clearly state downtrend formation on the short term perspective however in such situation market focus on Bank of England Rate Decision at 11:00 GMT. Main scenario: Price might retest our support at 1.6067 (S1) on the downside. Break here would suggest next target at 1.6034 (S2) and any further fall would then be targeting to 1.6000 (S3). Alternative scenario: Our next resistance stay at 1.6127 (R1), break here is required for market expansion towards to next targets at 1.6161 (R2) and 1.6198 (R3).

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USDJPY 78.616 / 78.618
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

79.04

78.87

78.71

78.42

78.25

78.07

SUMMARY

Up

TREND

Upward
penetration

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Technical Summary: Technically, USDJPY in uptrend formation and both moving averages acts now as dynamic support level. Fresh high, formed today is our key level for the further uptrend development. Main scenario: Next resistance ahead at 78.71 (R1), break here is required to open way for further appreciation towards to targets at 78.87 (R2) and 79.04 (R3). Alternative scenario: Price decline below the next support levels at 78.42 (S1) might trigger bearish pressure and enable next target at 78.25 (S2). A break below it would suggest last target for today at 78.07 (S3).

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