FXCC
FXCC FXCC FXCC
FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC
MARKET UPDATE 04.06.2013

2013-06-04 03:20 GMT

Fitch cuts Cyprus to B-, negative outlook

Fitch Ratings has downgraded Cyprus's long-term foreign currency issuer default rating by one notch to 'B-' from 'B' while keeping a negative outlook due to the country's elevated economic uncertainty. The rating agency had placed Cyprus on negative watch in March. With this decision, Fitch pushed Cyprus further into junk territory, now 6 notches. "Cyprus has no flexibility to deal with domestic or external shocks and there is a high risk of the (EU/IMF) program going off track, with financing buffers potentially insufficient to absorb material fiscal and economic slippage," Fitch said in a statement.

The EUR/USD finished the day sharply higher, at one point trading all the way up to 1.3107 before leaking lower later in the day to close up 76 pips at 1.3070. Some analysts were pointing towards weaker than expected ISM data from the US as the main catalyst for the bullish move in the pair. Economic data out of the US will slow down a bit the next few days, but volatility is certain to pick up as we approach the ECB Rate Decision on Thursday, as well as the Non-Farm Payrolls number due out of the US on Friday.-FXstreet.com

2013-06-04 08:30 GMT

UK. PMI Construction (May)

2013-06-04 09:00 GMT

EMU. Producer Price Index (YoY) (Apr)

2013-06-04 12:30 GMT

USA. Trade Balance (Apr)

2013-06-04 23:30 GMT

Australia. AiG Performance of Services Index (May)

2013-06-04 04:30 GMT

RBA Interest Rate Decision stays unchanged at 2.75%

2013-06-04 03:20 GMT

Will economic data later in week free EUR/USD from range bound behavior?

2013-06-04 02:13 GMT

EUR/AUD finds some ground in the 1.34 round area

2013-06-04 02:00 GMT

AUD/JPY advances capped below 97.50

AUDUSD
0.97280 / 288
NZDUSD
0.80591 / 601
USDCHF
0.94946 / 956
USDCAD
1.02957 / 962
GBPJPY
153.031 / 041
EURCHF
1.24009 / 019
GOLD
1409.73 / .91
SILVER
22.65 / .66
EURUSD HIGH 1.30804 LOW 1.30566 BID 1.30572 ASK 1.30575 CHANGE -0.14% TIME 08:22:51

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Upward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: While price is quoted above the 20 SMA, our technical outlook would be positive. Yesterday high offers next resistance level at 1.3107 (R1). Any price action above it would suggest next targets at 1.3127 (R2) and 1.3147(S3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, price pattern suggests bearish potential if the instrument manages to overcome next support level at 1.3043 (S1). Possible price regress could expose our initial targets at 1.3023 (S2) and 1.3003 (S3) in potential.

Resistance Levels: 1.3107, 1.3127, 1.3147

Support Levels: 1.3043, 1.3023, 1.3003

GBPUSD HIGH 1.53427 LOW 1.53101 BID 1.53115 ASK 1.53119 CHANGE -0.05% TIME 08:22:52

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Up
trend

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

Upwards scenario: Next barrier on the upside lie at 1.5343 (R1). Surpassing of this level might enable our initial target at 1.5362 (R2) and any further gains would then be limited to last resistive structure at 1.5382 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the downside our attention is shifted to the immediate support level at 1.5307 (S1). Break here is required to enable bearish forces and expose our intraday targets at 1.5287 (S2) and 1.5267 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.5343, 1.5362, 1.5382

Support Levels: 1.5307, 1.5287, 1.5267

USDJPY HIGH 99.88 LOW 99.333 BID 99.838 ASK 99.839 CHANGE 0.31% TIME 08:22:52

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Down

TREND CONDITION

Upward
penetration

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bullish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

Medium

Upwards scenario: Possible bullish penetration might face next challenge at 100.02 (R1). Break here is required to establish retracement action, targeting 100.32 (R2) en route towards to last resistance for today at 100.65 (R3). Downwards scenario: Penetration below the support at 99.31 (S1) is liable to put more downward pressure on the instrument in the near-term perspective. As a result our supportive means at 99.04 (S2) and 98.75 (S3) might be triggered.

Resistance Levels: 100.02, 100.32, 100.65

Support Levels: 99.31, 99.04, 98.75

MARKETING COMMUNICATION DISCLAIMER: The content of this material is a marketing communication, and not independent investment research. As such, the legal and regulatory requirements in relation to independent investment research do not apply to this material and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of its dissemination.

The material is for general information purposes only (whether or not it states any opinions). It does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) legal, financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by FX Central Clearing Ltd. (“FXCC”) or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

Although the information set out in this marketing communication is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, FXCC makes no guarantee as to its accuracy or completeness. All information is indicative and subject to change without notice and may be out of date at any given time. Neither FXCC, nor the author of this material shall be responsible for any loss that you may incur, either directly or indirectly, arising from any investment based on any information contained herein.

This material may include charts displaying financial instruments' past performance as well as estimates and forecasts. Any information relating to past performance of an investment does not necessarily guarantee future performance.

Unless otherwise stated, the prices used in the examples are FXCC’s own prices, and not those of third parties.

RISK WARNING: Trading in Forex and Contracts for Difference (CFDs) is highly speculative and involves substantial risk of loss. It is possible to lose all your capital. Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors. Only invest with money you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved before investing. Seek independent advice if necessary.