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MARKET UPDATE 04.01.2013

2013-01-04 05:03 GMT

Two largest rating agencies consider US fiscal cliff deal insufficient

Moody's and Standard and Poor's credit rating agencies urged US lawmakers on Thursday to increase their efforts to tackle the country's budget deficit, as they consider the last-minute fiscal cliff measures insufficient. The deal which was struck on Tuesday between Democrats and Republicans, with the aim to avoid automatic year-end tax increases and spending cuts, improves the current situation but does not lay foundations for lowering debt ratios in the medium term, Moody's rating agency told Reuters. Moody's senior credit officer Steven Hess said that the agency would wait for the outcome of the measures adopted by the US government before making decisions on the rating outlook or the rating itself.

Pending the signature of President Obama, expected to be done shortly, the US officially avoids that millions of citizens suffer tax hikes and spending reductions, which would have brought the U.S. economy into recession according to economists' projections. Worth not forgetting though, is that still plentiful of unresolved pressing issues remain, with the most immediate being the need to raise the federal borrowing limit, with the deadline over 2 month from now.-FXstreet.com

2013-01-04 09:30 GMT

United Kingdom. Markit Services PMI (Dec)

2013-01-04 10:00 GMT

E.M.U. Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Dec)

2013-01-04 13:30 GMT

United States. Nonfarm Payrolls (Dec)

2013-01-04 15:00 GMT

United States. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Dec)

2013-01-04 04:57 GMT

USD/JPY maximum pain to shorts above 87.50

2013-01-04 04:25 GMT

Constructive on EUR/USD towards 1.35 - Westpac

2013-01-04 03:53 GMT

NZD/USD finds support at 0.8220

2013-01-04 02:40 GMT

GBP/JPY stalls an 8 week run up below 141.00

AUDUSD
1.04428 / 439
NZDUSD
0.82443 / 460
USDCHF
0.92692 / 707
USDCAD
0.98837 / 850
GBPJPY
141.085 / 104
EURCHF
1.20897 / 910
GOLD
1651.93 / .21
SILVER
29.66 / .68
EURUSD HIGH 1.30532 LOW 1.30191 BID 1.30426 ASK 1.30432 CHANGE -0.05% TIME 07:59:49

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Down

TREND CONDITION

Down
trend

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bullish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

High

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: While EURUSD trades above the next support level, possibility of correction arises if market manages to break our resistance at 1.3082 (R1). In this case we would suggest next targets at 1.3111 (R2) and 1.3140 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: Medium term bias is clearly negative. If the market gains momentum and break below the next support at 1.3018 (S1), we suggest next targets to be placed at 1.2989 (S2) and 1.2961 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3082, 1.3111, 1.3140

Support Levels: 1.3018, 1.2989, 1.2961

GBPUSD HIGH 1.61076 LOW 1.60569 BID 1.60780 ASK 1.60792 CHANGE -0.19% TIME 07:59:50

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Down

TREND CONDITION

Down
trend

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bullish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

High

Upwards scenario: The upside movement looks protected by the next resistance level at 1.6113 (R1), located at the 20 SMA. Rise above it might change market sentiment to bullish on the short term perspective and expose intraday targets at 1.6142 (R2) and 1.6170 (R3).Downwards scenario: Our next support level, located at 1.6056 (S1) is the key point for the further downtrend development. Break here is required to put in focus lower targets at 1.6026 (S2) and 1.5995 (S3) in perspective.

Resistance Levels: 1.6113, 1.6142, 1.6170

Support Levels: 1.6056, 1.6026, 1.5995

USDJPY HIGH 87.831 LOW 87.239 BID 87.753 ASK 87.757 CHANGE 0.6% TIME 07:59:51

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Up

TREND CONDITION

Up
trend

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

High

Upwards scenario: USDJPY gained momentum, turning intraday bias to the positive side. Our next resistance level for today is hold at 87.85 (R1). Rise above it might open route towards to next targets at 88.16 (R2) and 88.47 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the downside our reference point locates at 87.52 (S1), decrease below it might enable bearish pressure, targeting 87.23 (S2) and any further fall would then be limited by last support level at 86.94 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 87.85, 88.16, 88.47

Support Levels: 87.52, 87.23, 86.94

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