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MARKET UPDATE 02.08.2012

2012-08-02 04:31 GMT

EUR/USD around 1.2250, the ECB has come

Despite London session ahead will bring almost no macro data EUR related but EU PPI at 09:00 GMT, today will be a busy day mainly focused on Spain with Italian PM Monti traveling to Madrid to meet Rajoy according to newspaper elpais.com, Spanish unemployment change at 07:00 GMT, and most importantly, Spanish Tesoro selling up to € 3B in different maturities from 2 to 10 years, with last 10 year bond yielding 6.43% in last auction, and closing yesterday at 6.72% after 4 day fall from euro era highs at 7.74% one week ago.

But that will only be an introduction to main risk event of the week for Euro, with ECB meeting delivering the interest rate statement at 11:45 GMT followed 45 minutes later by very much awaited Draghi's speech, which will confirm or deny the expectations created past week with his words.

Read More

2012-08-01 09:00 GMT

EMU - Producer Price Index (YoY) (Jun)

2012-08-01 11:00 GMT

UK - BoE Interest Rate Decision

2012-08-01 11:45 GMT

EMU - ECB Interest Rate Decision

2012-08-01 14:00 GMT

US - Factory Orders (MoM) (Jun)

2012-08-02 04:28 GMT

GBP/USD steady below 1.5550; ECB, BoE eyed

2012-08-02 03:01 GMT

ECB may be building a bridge to nowhere - Megan Greene

2012-08-02 02:19 GMT

USD/JPY bulls trek above 78.50

2012-08-02 01:41 GMT

AUD/USD attacking 1.0480 resistance post Aus sales

AUDUSD
1.04881 / 885
NZDUSD
0.80961 / 973
USDCHF
0.98067 / 077
USDCAD
1.00534 / 539
GBPJPY
122.060 / 073
EURCHF
1.20164 / 170
GOLD
1602.54 / .82
SILVER
27.48 / .51
EURUSD 1.22534 / 1.22535
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.2390

1.2332

1.2277

1.2217

1.2158

1.2100

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Sideway

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Oversold

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

EURUSD made an attempt to go higher yesterday but fail to establish positive bias and dropped below suggested support level at 1.2249. Today we expect further depreciation as main scenario however clearance of next resistance at 1.2277 (R1) will open way for next target attack at 1.2332 (R2). If we see loss of next support level at 1.2217 (S1), next expected targets would be at 1.2158 (S2) and 1.2100 (S3). Close attention to the important news releases today. EMU announce ECB Interest Rate Decision at 11:45 GMT.

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GBPUSD 1.55558 / 1.55567
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

1.5732

1.5654

1.5583

1.5522

1.5458

1.5391

SUMMARY

Down

TREND

Sideway

MA10

Bearish

MA20

Bearish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Yesterday instrument broke our suggested support level at 1.5625 and successfully achieved next target at 1.5552. From the technical side intraday sentiment is negative as both moving averages are pointing down. Fall below support level at 1.5522 (S1) would suggest next targets at 1.5458 (S2) and 1.5391 (S3). On the other side, brake of next resistance at 1.5583 (R1) might lead to the development of correction with next intraday target at 1.5654 (R2). Appreciation above this level enable next target at 1.5732 (R3) and suggest us about the trend reversal. Today in focus Bank of England Interest rate decision and asset Purchase Facility release at 11:00 GMT as major market drivers.

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USDJPY 78.466 / 78.471
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY

78.82

78.68

78.54

78.31

78.12

77.92

SUMMARY

TREND

Upward
penetration

MA10

Bullish

MA20

Bullish

STOCHASTIC

Neutral

 

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Market gained momentum yesterday and met our final target at 78.49. Volatility increase might be a signal of uptrend development and we expect new highs forming today. Next resistance holds at 78.54 (R1). Rise above this level will provide space for further appreciation towards to next expected target at 78.68 (R2), strong technical level. Brake here is required to enable higher target at 78.82 (R3). On the other hand, decrease of the price below next support level at 78.31 (S1) would suggest target at 78.12 (S2) and any further loss then will be limited by final support at 77.92 (S3).

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