FXCC
FXCC FXCC FXCC
FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC FXCC
MARKET UPDATE 01.05.2013

2013-05-01 07:00 GMT

FOMC Meeting -- a major catalyst or non-event?

The EUR/USD finished the day sharply higher, closing up 0.55% at 1.3166. Intra-day the pair traded as high as 1.3186 but was once again unable to take out the 1.3200 level. All eyes will be on the upcoming US session, with both Construction Spending and ISM Manufacturing PMI due out at 14:00 GMT. Following this data, we will get the Federal Reserve Monetary Policy statement at 18:00GMT. However, with all the hype surrounding the upcoming economic data due out of the US, some analysts are saying not to look too much into the release and the effect on the US Dollar might be minimal.

According to Kathy Lien of BK Asset Management, “Given the recent disappointments in economic data, it will be very difficult for the hawks inside the Fed to justify hardening their call for a rate cut. In contrast, the doves will sing louder about the need for maintain the current level of stimulus. However none of these discussions are likely to appear in the FOMC statement. - FXstreet.com

2013-05-01 14:00 GMT

USA.ISM Manufacturing PMI (Apr)

2013-05-01 18:00 GMT

USA.Fed Interest Rate Decision (May 1)

2013-05-01 18:00 GMT

USA.Fed's Monetary Policy Statement and press conference

2013-05-01 23:50 GMT

JP.BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

2013-05-01 03:29 GMT

GBP/USD finishes higher for a fifth straight day, closes April +1.41%

2013-05-01 02:40 GMT

AUD/JPY still forming “pennant” pattern on daily chart

2013-05-01 01:53 GMT

EUR/USD quiet during Asia session, resistance at 1.3200 remains in focus

2013-05-01 01:13 GMT

AUD/USD near highs after China PMI

AUDUSD
1.03670 / 678
NZDUSD
0.85769 / 780
USDCHF
0.92930 / 940
USDCAD
1.00621 / 628
GBPJPY
151.346 / 361
EURCHF
1.22373 / 383
GOLD
1474.94 / .29
SILVER
24.26 / .30
EURUSD HIGH 1.3179 LOW 1.31603 BID 1.31643 ASK 1.31649 CHANGE -0.02% TIME 08:13:27

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

TREND CONDITION

Up
trend

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

High

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Neutral hourly studies point towards further consolidation, with a break of next resistive structure at 1.3185 (R1) is required to spark stronger upside action. In such scenario we would suggest our next initial targets at 1.3213 (R2) and 1.3239 (R3). Downwards scenario: Next support level is seen at 1.3156 (S1), any penetration below it might activate downside pressure and enable lower target at 1.3120 (S2). Any further market decline would then be limited to 1.3084 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3185, 1.3213, 1.3239

Support Levels: 1.3156, 1.3120, 1.3084

GBPUSD HIGH 1.55468 LOW 1.55262 BID 1.55344 ASK 1.55353 CHANGE 0.03% TIME 08:13:27

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

TREND CONDITION

Up
trend

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bearish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

High

Upwards scenario: On the upside potential is seen for a break above the resistance at 1.5563 (R1). In such case we would suggest next target at 1.5590 (R2) and any further rise would then be limited to final resistance at 1.5629 (R3). Downwards scenario: Successful retest of our next support level at 1.5527 (S1) might provide sufficient momentum for the price acceleration towards to interim target at 1.5507 (S2). Final aim for today locates at 1.5481 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.5563, 1.5590, 1.5629

Support Levels: 1.5527, 1.5507, 1.5481

USDJPY HIGH 97.465 LOW 97.049 BID 97.276 ASK 97.280 CHANGE -0.14% TIME 08:13:28

OUTLOOK SUMMARY

Down

TREND CONDITION

Down
trend

TRADERS SENTIMENT

Bullish

IMPLIED VOLATILITY

High

Upwards scenario: Possibility of market strengthening is seen above the immediate resistive barrier at 97.42 (R1). Price extension above it is required to validate our next intraday targets at 97.61 (R2) and 97.82 (R3). Downwards scenario: If the price manages to overcome our next support barrier at 97.11 (S1), we expect to see further market decline towards to our next target at 96.89 (S2) and then next stop could be found at 96.70 (S3) mark.

Resistance Levels: 97.42, 97.61, 97.82

Support Levels: 97.11, 96.89, 96.70

MARKETING COMMUNICATION DISCLAIMER: The content of this material is a marketing communication, and not independent investment research. As such, the legal and regulatory requirements in relation to independent investment research do not apply to this material and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of its dissemination.

The material is for general information purposes only (whether or not it states any opinions). It does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) legal, financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by FX Central Clearing Ltd. (“FXCC”) or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

Although the information set out in this marketing communication is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, FXCC makes no guarantee as to its accuracy or completeness. All information is indicative and subject to change without notice and may be out of date at any given time. Neither FXCC, nor the author of this material shall be responsible for any loss that you may incur, either directly or indirectly, arising from any investment based on any information contained herein.

This material may include charts displaying financial instruments' past performance as well as estimates and forecasts. Any information relating to past performance of an investment does not necessarily guarantee future performance.

Unless otherwise stated, the prices used in the examples are FXCC’s own prices, and not those of third parties.

RISK WARNING: Trading in Forex and Contracts for Difference (CFDs) is highly speculative and involves substantial risk of loss. It is possible to lose all your capital. Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors. Only invest with money you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved before investing. Seek independent advice if necessary.